Jason Bay’s agent did not attend the GM Meetings in Chicago this week. No need.
Joe Urbon, who is the free-agent outfielder’s representative with CAA, had already had enough constructive conversations with major-league clubs about their interest in his client, and about Bay’s potential value to them, that a trip to the Windy City was unnecessary.
“We had enough productive traction with the multiple clubs that we assumed would be interested, and a few other additional clubs, even prior to the start of the meetings, that it made the most sense for efficiency’s sake and distraction’s sake to manage the process from our office here in [Los Angeles],” said Urbon. “It was pretty clear that there was a very specific but also general theme that we talked about, that was well-received by the clubs we talked to, at an early point in the process.”
Urbon’s message about Bay has been straightforward. He tried not merely to establish his client as the best available free-agent, but more broadly, as an outfielder who is as valuable as any in the game.
“I made the point to every club that I spoke with that, over the last five years, [Bay] has been the most durable and productive outfielder in the game,” Urbon relayed. “You’d get that pause. ‘Really?’ It’s a very accurate statement, and something I wanted to make clear.”
PRODUCTIVITY
Urbon presents what he calls “a concise snapshot. … Here’s who Jason Bay is.”
The agent does so by giving context to Bay’s accomplishments over the last half-decade, comparing him to both the rest of the major leagues broadly and, more narrowly, to other outfielders.
Bay was an offensive force as a member of the Red Sox, just as he was while with the Pirates, with whom he broke in as a full-timer in a 2004 season he was named Rookie of the Year.
From the standpoint of consistent middle-of-the-order production on a year-in, year-out basis, Bay numbers among baseball’s elite. He is certainly at or near the top of the heap among outfielders in most traditional power and run production stats.
In the past five years, Bay is one of three players – along with Yankees third baseman Alex Rodriguez and Cardinals superhuman Albert Pujols – to turn in four seasons of 30 homers, 100 RBIs and 100 runs. Of those three, Bay is the only outfielder.
He is also the only outfielder to reach those levels in each of the past two years. He and Ryan Braun were the only two outfielders to hit 30 homers and drive in 100 in both 2008 and 2009.
Since 2005, Bay is the only player to rank among the top six outfielders in runs (503, 6th), homers (155, T-5th) and RBIs (514, 5th). He is sixth among active outfielders with an .892 OPS, and his .378 OBP ranks 10th among outfielders with at least 500 games played over that time.
This past year, he was third among major-league outfielders and first among A.L. outfielders with a .921 OPS. Bay ranks sixth among major-league outfielder in OPS over the last two years combined (.907), third among those who played at least 300 games.
In short, Bay’s credentials as one of the top producing outfielders in baseball are difficult to argue.
DURABILITY
But Urbon suggests that Bay is even more valuable because he has demonstrated his ability to remain in the lineup over the years. Bay’s toughness is widely admired by teammates, and with good reason.
Over the last five years, Bay has played in 772 games, tied for the seventh most in the majors. Bay has also entered 765 of those games as an outfielder; only Ichiro (777) has played more games or more innings in the outfield during that time.
“Particularly now, when money is tight and you’ve got to be smart with your moves, consistency and durability are incredibly important,” said Urbon. “When you add that to being the most productive outfielder over the last five years, you’ve got a combination that creates a value.”
Urbon points out that his client is in a rare class of outfielders to avoid the disabled list over the past five seasons. He suggests that the only other everyday outfielders who have managed to remain on the active roster since 2005 without a single D.L. stint are Bay, Jermaine Dye, Bobby Abreu and Randy Winn.
“Everyone talks about Everyday J-Bay,” said Urbon. “But the fact that he’s one of four outfielders who has not been on the D.L. for a single day in the last five years is something that raises eyebrows.”
There is, the agent suggests, value in that kind of steady productivity. Teams that are going to offer a contract to one of the top free agents on the market this winter will no doubt have to swallow hard about the size of the investment. But Urbon suggests that Bay’s ability to stay on the field removes some of the risk from the equation.
Bay has been among the top producing outfielders in the game over the past five years. Urbon makes the case that the outfielder’s production level, combined with his ability to stay on the field, signfies a player whose ability to offer reliable return on a significant contract will not be an issue.
“It’s all about managing risk,” the agent said. “What [Bay] has to offer is exactly what [teams] are looking for when they’re looking to fill these holes and be safe with their investment, knowing that they’re going to have that rare and valuable combination of durability, consistency and productivity going forward.”
Bay did require surgery due to tendonitis in his right knee following the 2007 season – a campaign in which he played 145 games, but had his production impaired significantly. Across the board, Bay produced the worst numbers of his career that year.
But since the surgery that offseason, he has returned to roughly his pre-2007 offensive production levels. There has been no sign of recurrence of the injury since then.
Though Bay is now in his 30s – he turned 31 on Sept. 20, and is roughly 16 months older than Matt Holliday, the other premium free agent this offseason – Urbon suggests that there is no reason to be pessimistic about his future production.
“I have a hard time buying the argument that he or anyone who is 30 or 31 years old is old. If you tack on four or five years, that’s another story,” said Urbon. “He had his best year personally this year. And he did it in the toughest division in baseball.”
READY TO TEST THE WATERS, BUT OPEN TO A RETURN
Urbon said that he has remained in contact with the Red Sox since the end of the season. While he has talked with several teams who have expressed interest in the outfielder — who won the Silver Slugger Award as the top hitting left fielder in the American League on Thursday — the Sox currently have an exclusive window to discuss contract terms with Bay that runs through Nov. 19.
Come next Thursday, however, all 30 clubs are free to discuss years and dollars with Bay. Neither Urbon nor the Sox expect that an agreement will be reached before the close of that exclusive negotiating window. Even so, the agent suggests that the two sides plan to continue their conversations about a potential return if and when Bay starts negotiating with other clubs.
“There’s just as good a chance of Jason staying with his current club as there is with him going to any other club,” said Urbon. “We’ve had communication with Boston. I’ve spoken with [Sox GM Theo Epstein]. It’s been very candid.
“I think there is a sentiment from the club and from Jason and frankly from myself that we don’t see any reason why he won’t proceed to free agency. With that said, we don’t see any reason why we won’t continue to have open dialogue with the Red Sox, along with other clubs that are interested. We’re all on the same page with regards to that.”
Urbon declined to detail the clubs with whom he had been in conversation about Bay. Even so, he made clear that interest in Bay has been widespread, representing teams from both the American and National Leagues — a fact that would suggest that the market for the outfielder is not being impacted by concerns about his defense.
“Interest has been very well distributed between the two leagues,” said Urbon. “Not one club mentioned anything about [defense]. I think it becomes a talking point, because it’s worth talking about and dissecting and evaluating, but at the end of the day, his ability to play a consistent left field, clubs are well aware of it. I haven’t heard any issue or concern about whether or not the player can play defense in a bigger park, a smaller park, an East Coast park, a West Coast park. It really wasn’t an issue.”
ALEX SPEIER
In the latest edition of the "It Is What It Is" podcast, Chris Price and CSNNE's Mike Giardi take a look at the Patriots offseason on both sides of the ball, try and get a handle on which new guys will make an impact first, and whether or not the Patriots have altered their style when it comes to drafting and developing wide receivers.
Mike Florio joined the program to discuss the Jets decision to release Tim Tebow, he said the situation is as disaster all around for the Jets and that the problems begins with owner Woody Johnson. Mike also said that he was disappointed with the Pats moving back in the first round.
One of the hardest working men in the biz, Mike Petraglia aka "Trags", sits down with Butch Stearns live in Foxborough to help break down all the latest Pats moves. He discusses his reaction to the trade in Round 1 and the guys those picks produced. Also, the boys talk about the decent trade the Pats made in acquiring LeGarrette Blount from Tampa Bay for Jeff Demps and a 7th rounder.
We check in with Danny Ainge for our first talk to him since the Celtics season ended last weekend. We talk about the future of the team, KG, Pierce, Doc Rivers and more, as Danny directly answers the rumors being floated by ESPN's Stephen A. Smith.
Jackie Mac joins the show to discuss the trade rumors swirling around Paul Pierce, KG, Doc Rivers and the Celtics. She also discusses the future of the Celtics head coach.
Stephen A. joined the program to discuss the trade rumors he has reported regarding a possible trade including Doc Rivers and the Clippers. Stephen A. also told the guys that he has heard that Danny and Doc may be tiring of working together.
Joe Castiglione talked with John Lackey after he picked up the W against the Twins. Lackey threw seven innings, and retired the 1st twelve batters of the game.
Dave O'Brien talked to John Farrell before the end of the Twins series. The Sox skipper said that Big Papi's success is no surprise given his work ethic.
John Farrell postgame press conference
Elliotte Friedman joined the show to discuss the Bruins domination of the series thus far. He said that while nothing is certain he cannot see a way in which the Rangers come back and win the series.
Brickley joins the show and discusses what the Bruins should do with their young defensemen once the veterans return from injury, the play of Rask, and Torterella's coaching style.
Shawn joined the show to discuss the teams great performance in game two against the Rangers. Shawn said that he wouldn't mind playing for John Tortorella because he seems like a funny guy.
Elliotte Friedman joined the show to discuss the Bruins domination of the series thus far. He said that while nothing is certain he cannot see a way in which the Rangers come back and win the series.
Steve joined the show to discuss the Rangers and their coach John Tortorella. Steve said that the Bruins have been the far better team thus far in the series.
Kirk and Gerry talked about game three tonight at Madison Square Garden between the Bruins and Rangers. Gerry and Kirk are not very confident in the ability of the Rangers to make this a series.
Brickley joins the show and discusses what the Bruins should do with their young defensemen once the veterans return from injury, the play of Rask, and Torterella's coaching style.
LB joins the show in studio to discuss the Bruins taking a 2-0 series lead against the Rangers and what Claude should do when Seidenberg, Redden, and Ference are ready to play.
Mut and Merloni get into a Red Sox discussion after a successful weekend in Minnesota. They discuss Pedroia, Lackey, and the future of Ellsbury with the Red Sox.
What's better than a whole hour with NESN's Jack Edwards? Not much. We talk all hockey, all the time with Jack live from his study, with a "Loving Cup", whatever that is.
We talk hockey as the Bruins have had little problem taking a 2-0 series lead against the much talk about NY Rangers. Will this continue in games 3 and 4 at MSG? We discuss.
We tackle four topics we haven't yet touched upon today. Gronk!, Proms with celebs and athletes and much more.
Today on the Daily Planet the Bruins have a 2-0 lead over the New york Rangers, the Red Sox are back on the winning sde of things, and the noteable birthdays of the day.
The Bruins have almost finished raking the Leafs, the Red Sox struggle from the mound, Miami Heat fans show their level of class.
Daily Planet Wednesday May 8th
....uhhhh.....a bunch of bombs over there....
Sounds like a prostate exam to me!
Damn New Yorkers!
Linda explains how the shootout transpired in Watertown during the early morning hours. She saw the first suspect mortally wounded and police beginning the manhunt for the second suspect.
More from this showWe check in with Danny Ainge for our first talk to him since the Celtics season ended last weekend. We talk about the future of the team, KG, Pierce, Doc Rivers and more, as Danny directly answers the rumors being floated by ESPN's Stephen A. Smith.
More from this showBy and large, the focus of development in the minor leagues is on players. Still, there is a developmental path for coaches and managers in the farm system, as is evident from the fact that the previous two managers of the Red Sox' Triple-A affiliate in Pawtucket -- Torey Lovullo (2010) and Arnie Beyeler (2011-12) are now both on the Red Sox' big league coaching staff. They share their insights about the differences between player and coaching expectations in Triple-A vs. the majors, while discussing professional development from the perspective of former minor league managers who aspire to similar positions in the big leagues.
More from this showJohn, Gerry and Kirk give their things that they would never do, listeners joined on the WEEI yakoff app with their thoughts.
More from this showJeff Bauman, a victim of the Boston Marathon bombing, joined the show to give the guys an update of his condition and a first-hand account of that terrible day. Jeff told the guys how he wrote the description of the bomber as soon as he could. Mr. Bauman added that he is aided every day with the knowledge that he is alive and the terrorist that detonated the bomb is dead.
More from this show