Jason Bay’s agent did not attend the GM Meetings in Chicago this week. No need.
Joe Urbon, who is the free-agent outfielder’s representative with CAA, had already had enough constructive conversations with major-league clubs about their interest in his client, and about Bay’s potential value to them, that a trip to the Windy City was unnecessary.
“We had enough productive traction with the multiple clubs that we assumed would be interested, and a few other additional clubs, even prior to the start of the meetings, that it made the most sense for efficiency’s sake and distraction’s sake to manage the process from our office here in [Los Angeles],” said Urbon. “It was pretty clear that there was a very specific but also general theme that we talked about, that was well-received by the clubs we talked to, at an early point in the process.”
Urbon’s message about Bay has been straightforward. He tried not merely to establish his client as the best available free-agent, but more broadly, as an outfielder who is as valuable as any in the game.
“I made the point to every club that I spoke with that, over the last five years, [Bay] has been the most durable and productive outfielder in the game,” Urbon relayed. “You’d get that pause. ‘Really?’ It’s a very accurate statement, and something I wanted to make clear.”
PRODUCTIVITY
Urbon presents what he calls “a concise snapshot. … Here’s who Jason Bay is.”
The agent does so by giving context to Bay’s accomplishments over the last half-decade, comparing him to both the rest of the major leagues broadly and, more narrowly, to other outfielders.
Bay was an offensive force as a member of the Red Sox, just as he was while with the Pirates, with whom he broke in as a full-timer in a 2004 season he was named Rookie of the Year.
From the standpoint of consistent middle-of-the-order production on a year-in, year-out basis, Bay numbers among baseball’s elite. He is certainly at or near the top of the heap among outfielders in most traditional power and run production stats.
In the past five years, Bay is one of three players – along with Yankees third baseman Alex Rodriguez and Cardinals superhuman Albert Pujols – to turn in four seasons of 30 homers, 100 RBIs and 100 runs. Of those three, Bay is the only outfielder.
He is also the only outfielder to reach those levels in each of the past two years. He and Ryan Braun were the only two outfielders to hit 30 homers and drive in 100 in both 2008 and 2009.
Since 2005, Bay is the only player to rank among the top six outfielders in runs (503, 6th), homers (155, T-5th) and RBIs (514, 5th). He is sixth among active outfielders with an .892 OPS, and his .378 OBP ranks 10th among outfielders with at least 500 games played over that time.
This past year, he was third among major-league outfielders and first among A.L. outfielders with a .921 OPS. Bay ranks sixth among major-league outfielder in OPS over the last two years combined (.907), third among those who played at least 300 games.
In short, Bay’s credentials as one of the top producing outfielders in baseball are difficult to argue.
DURABILITY
But Urbon suggests that Bay is even more valuable because he has demonstrated his ability to remain in the lineup over the years. Bay’s toughness is widely admired by teammates, and with good reason.
Over the last five years, Bay has played in 772 games, tied for the seventh most in the majors. Bay has also entered 765 of those games as an outfielder; only Ichiro (777) has played more games or more innings in the outfield during that time.
“Particularly now, when money is tight and you’ve got to be smart with your moves, consistency and durability are incredibly important,” said Urbon. “When you add that to being the most productive outfielder over the last five years, you’ve got a combination that creates a value.”
Urbon points out that his client is in a rare class of outfielders to avoid the disabled list over the past five seasons. He suggests that the only other everyday outfielders who have managed to remain on the active roster since 2005 without a single D.L. stint are Bay, Jermaine Dye, Bobby Abreu and Randy Winn.
“Everyone talks about Everyday J-Bay,” said Urbon. “But the fact that he’s one of four outfielders who has not been on the D.L. for a single day in the last five years is something that raises eyebrows.”
There is, the agent suggests, value in that kind of steady productivity. Teams that are going to offer a contract to one of the top free agents on the market this winter will no doubt have to swallow hard about the size of the investment. But Urbon suggests that Bay’s ability to stay on the field removes some of the risk from the equation.
Bay has been among the top producing outfielders in the game over the past five years. Urbon makes the case that the outfielder’s production level, combined with his ability to stay on the field, signfies a player whose ability to offer reliable return on a significant contract will not be an issue.
“It’s all about managing risk,” the agent said. “What [Bay] has to offer is exactly what [teams] are looking for when they’re looking to fill these holes and be safe with their investment, knowing that they’re going to have that rare and valuable combination of durability, consistency and productivity going forward.”
Bay did require surgery due to tendonitis in his right knee following the 2007 season – a campaign in which he played 145 games, but had his production impaired significantly. Across the board, Bay produced the worst numbers of his career that year.
But since the surgery that offseason, he has returned to roughly his pre-2007 offensive production levels. There has been no sign of recurrence of the injury since then.
Though Bay is now in his 30s – he turned 31 on Sept. 20, and is roughly 16 months older than Matt Holliday, the other premium free agent this offseason – Urbon suggests that there is no reason to be pessimistic about his future production.
“I have a hard time buying the argument that he or anyone who is 30 or 31 years old is old. If you tack on four or five years, that’s another story,” said Urbon. “He had his best year personally this year. And he did it in the toughest division in baseball.”
READY TO TEST THE WATERS, BUT OPEN TO A RETURN
Urbon said that he has remained in contact with the Red Sox since the end of the season. While he has talked with several teams who have expressed interest in the outfielder — who won the Silver Slugger Award as the top hitting left fielder in the American League on Thursday — the Sox currently have an exclusive window to discuss contract terms with Bay that runs through Nov. 19.
Come next Thursday, however, all 30 clubs are free to discuss years and dollars with Bay. Neither Urbon nor the Sox expect that an agreement will be reached before the close of that exclusive negotiating window. Even so, the agent suggests that the two sides plan to continue their conversations about a potential return if and when Bay starts negotiating with other clubs.
“There’s just as good a chance of Jason staying with his current club as there is with him going to any other club,” said Urbon. “We’ve had communication with Boston. I’ve spoken with [Sox GM Theo Epstein]. It’s been very candid.
“I think there is a sentiment from the club and from Jason and frankly from myself that we don’t see any reason why he won’t proceed to free agency. With that said, we don’t see any reason why we won’t continue to have open dialogue with the Red Sox, along with other clubs that are interested. We’re all on the same page with regards to that.”
Urbon declined to detail the clubs with whom he had been in conversation about Bay. Even so, he made clear that interest in Bay has been widespread, representing teams from both the American and National Leagues — a fact that would suggest that the market for the outfielder is not being impacted by concerns about his defense.
“Interest has been very well distributed between the two leagues,” said Urbon. “Not one club mentioned anything about [defense]. I think it becomes a talking point, because it’s worth talking about and dissecting and evaluating, but at the end of the day, his ability to play a consistent left field, clubs are well aware of it. I haven’t heard any issue or concern about whether or not the player can play defense in a bigger park, a smaller park, an East Coast park, a West Coast park. It really wasn’t an issue.”
ALEX SPEIER
Patriots punter Zoltan Mesko joined D&C to chat about being labeled the most interesting man in the NFL. He shows off his multilingual skills, who he idolizes, and his upcoming charity event.
Christopher Price joins John Ryder to discuss Wes Welker signing his franchise tender. They also discuss what a crowded Patriots receiver corps will look like once the season starts, as well as the situation in the backfield.
Wes Welker joins Mut and Merloni to discuss his current contract status with the Patriots, if he thinks he'll be at the mandatory mini camp in June, and if he can see himself missing regular season games.
We speak to Danny Ainge for our weekly interview and get his take on the Celtics ugly performance in game six, what to look for in game 7, and we try and get some inside info on the Celts many injuries.
Celtics radio analyst Cedric Maxwell joined D&C to chat about the Celtics lack of effort in Game 6. He discusses how Bradley has enhanced Rondo's play, the C's lack of depth dues to injury, and what the Celtics need to do to win Game 7.
Sean talked with the coach about the big Game 5 comeback, and about the team's different configurations.
NESN Red Sox analyst Jerry Remy joined the guys to discuss why the Sox have been playing better since their players only meeting. He touches on how fun its been to watch their makeshift lineup play, Bobby Valentine's shuffling his roster due to injuries, and Adrian Gonzalez willingness to play the outfield to help the team.
Bobby Valentine & Joe Castiglione on a rare no-move day today in Baltimore to preview Sox/irds
Red Sox Manager Bobby Valentine joined D&C to discuss Kevin Youkilis' return from the DL. He also discusses juggling his lineup with all the injuries, Adrian Gonzalez volunteering to play the outfield, team leadership, and how the players only meeting influenced the Sox turnaround.
Bruins Defensman Andrew Ference wraps up the Bruins Game 7 loss. He touches on just how the Capitals beat them, what his thought were on Ovechkin's performance, and how Tim Thomas' decision not to attend the White House visit affected the team.
NESN's Andy Brickley joined Dennis and Callahan to discuss the NHL playoffs and preview game 7 of the Bruins and Captials.
We're joined by NESN's own Jack Edwards after the Bruins knocked off the Caps in dramatic fashion to force a game 7 showdown this Wednesday at the Garden. Jack says: Bet on the Bear!
Celtics radio analyst Cedric Maxwell joined D&C to chat about the Celtics lack of effort in Game 6. He discusses how Bradley has enhanced Rondo's play, the C's lack of depth dues to injury, and what the Celtics need to do to win Game 7.
NESN Red Sox analyst Jerry Remy joined the guys to discuss why the Sox have been playing better since their players only meeting. He touches on how fun its been to watch their makeshift lineup play, Bobby Valentine's shuffling his roster due to injuries, and Adrian Gonzalez willingness to play the outfield to help the team.
D&C discuss Lisa Salters interview/lovefest with Allen Iverson in the middle of the 2nd quater of Game 6. The boys talk about the timing and length of the interview, how broke Iverson is, and the impressive run the Celtics had during the interview.
Buster Olney joins Mut and Lou to discuss the latest on the Youkilis trade front, Bob McClure, what Cole Hamels will get in free agency, and if Hal Steinbrenner is really trying to sell the Yankees.
Mut and Lou try to figure out why Daniel Bard is no longer throwing in the high 90's.
Tim Legler joins Mut and Merloni to talk about the Celtics loss to the Sixers and what he expects will happen in Game 7.
We speak to Danny Ainge for our weekly interview and get his take on the Celtics ugly performance in game six, what to look for in game 7, and we try and get some inside info on the Celts many injuries.
The Celtics saved their worst performance of the season on a night when they needed their best the most. Their record in close-out games on the road is abyssmal, and they've now lost any chance at rest if they advance. Can they beat the Sixers in game seven? What will this long series mean if they advance? Michael and Glenn discuss it.
As the news comes down that Gonzalez is playing in the outfield, we debate how smart a move this is, and what, if any, alternatives did the Red Sox have?
Mikey, Ryder and Lenny Megs are talking about the Celtics-76ers game 7 and who they'll need to step up and get the Celts a win.
Mikey and Ryder both had high expectations for the Celtics in game 6 of their series with the 76ers and now there's a game 7. They give their predictions on the game and talk about what the Celtics need to correct before they play.
Kirk wrote a column about David Ortiz that Mikey didn't completely agree with and a debate ensues.
Mike gets a talking to, and takes a keen interest in someone on twitter named 'Weed Girl'.
MOTWU tickles Michael, Ortiz feels the heat, and the Celts get their props.
The goon croons for a lost BeeGee, and Metallica on the accordion never sounded better.
Jermaine O Neal joins Mut and Merloni in an attempt to let fans hear his side of the story on his time in Boston. Jermaine denies ever wanting to go to the Heat.
More from this showKirk talks with John Mitchell, who wrote Wednesday that Kevin Garnett could face backlash from racist fans in Boston should the Celtics lose the series to the 76ers.
More from this showThe guys react to the interview Olympian Lolo Jones did with Real Sports reporter Mary Carillo where she reveals she'll be giving her future husband the gift of her virginity. They respond to her comments about her struggles to find a husband and staying a virgin being the hardest thing she's ever done.
More from this showCeltics radio analyst Cedric Maxwell joined D&C to chat about the Celtics lack of effort in Game 6. He discusses how Bradley has enhanced Rondo's play, the C's lack of depth dues to injury, and what the Celtics need to do to win Game 7.
More from this showBuster Olney joins Mut and Lou to discuss the latest on the Youkilis trade front, Bob McClure, what Cole Hamels will get in free agency, and if Hal Steinbrenner is really trying to sell the Yankees.
More from this show