The issue isn’t whether Tom Brady will return to greatness in 2009. He’s too talented, too driven and surrounded by too much talent for that not to happen. Besides, the recent history is pretty definitive. If quarterbacks like Carson Palmer, Donovan McNabb and Philip Rivers can come back and perform at a high level with reconstructed knees, then Brady can obviously do it, too.
Brady will be at the top of the league again. Write it down.
The question is when he will get there.
There's no doubt that medical science/chemistry has advanced to the point where recovery from major knee surgeries has never been quicker. Rivers played the 2007 AFC title game in Foxboro with a torn ACL (a statement of toughness, by the way, that didn’t get nearly the play it deserved; if Kevin Garnett is a warrior, then what is Rivers?) and then returned in 2008 and had a career year. Palmer also got hurt in the playoffs and was back by the first week of the ensuing regular season. So even with the setbacks Brady experienced, he has always had a good chance of being back on the field.
Yet the rust on Brady’s game and the stiffness in his left leg we saw at last week’s open practice was a reminder that Brady is not a super hero. I think it’s expecting an awful lot for him to snap back into place like Plastic Man and be the guy who threw for 50 touchdown passes in Week 1 and then just stay at that level all season. That’s what many fans are thinking right now, and it’s probably a reach. It’s going to be a process, and last week was merely another step along the way.
Brady acknowledged as much.
"Thank God the season is a few months away,'' he said. "We need the work and I need the work. I think everybody realizes when you come out after four months off there is a lot of work for us to do.
"I will take every day that I have. Believe me, I'll take every day.''
As friend Bert Breer recently pointed out, while guys like Palmer and McNabb returned to form, their comebacks were hardly seamless. McNabb took a huge number of sacks his first full season back from ACL surgery and Palmer also went down an inordinate amount of time early in his return season. Their final season stats made it look like the two didn’t miss a beat, but that’s just not the case.
As Palmer told Breer, there's a mental hurdle that has to be overcome. "You have to get over being uneasy about people being down around your feet and feeling like you need to step out of the way to protect yourself," he said. I would contend that this part of the equation is a bigger part of Brady's game than just about any other quarterback you can mention. We all know he isn't mobile, but Brady's knack for alluding pressure in the pocket, holding the ball and making that one extra step, usually forward, is one of the things that make him a Hall of Famer. Take that away, and he's a different guy.
Again, I believe he'll get it back eventually. But he's human. He got hurt on a play in which he held the ball and stepped up in the pocket. How can that not be in his mind early next year?
I also think Peyton Manning's 2008 season is worth noting. Coming off a minor knee procedure that resulted in an infection similar to the one that befell Brady, Manning was clearly affected early last year. Over the first seven games, he threw nine interceptions against just 10 touchdown passes, as the Colts got off to a 3-4 start. Manning eventually turned it around, with the Colts' early November win over the Pats and their porous pass defense sending them on the way to a nine-game winning streak. Over those final nine games, Manning threw just three interceptions against 17 touchdowns. He also regained his pocket presence as the season wore on. Manning was sacked nine times in the first five games. He went down just five times in the final 11 weeks.
So Manning eventually returned to elite status. It just took time. (Brady's personal throwing guru, Tom Martinez, certainly thinks that this season, in the early going, Brady will look like Manning did at the start of this past season. Check out what he told our Christopher Price back on January.)
Maybe Brady will round into form quicker. Maybe he'll be a bit slower. No one knows. But this you can take to the bank: the Pats' early season opponents in 2009 are going to put as much traffic at his feet as they can and make him prove he's cleared that hurdle. The Jets, who ranked seventh in the NFL in sacks last season, will show no mercy in Week 2. The Ravens and their hard-charging defense come calling in Week 4. Then there's a trip to Denver, where Josh McDaniels will attack Brady with reams of inside information. In Week 6 it's a visit by the chippy Titans followed by a long, overseas flight to London in Week 7 to take on Tampa.
If Brady is on pace for 50 touchdown passes after that slate, then he is, in fact, a super hero. Get him a cape.
Until then, let's see him dodge a few speeding bullets before we assume he can leap tall buildings.
Catch Felger on ``Sports Sunday,'' Sundays at 10 p.m. on Comcast Sportsnet. Reach him at mfelger@weei.com
The NFL Sunday gang wraps up the season predicting the score of Super Bowl 46...and they don't think it's going to be as close as most people do. Go Pats!
NFL Sunday rolls on with Dale, Fauria and Price talking about the emotional roller coaster the Pats and more specifically team owner Robert Kraft have been on this season. With the passing of his wife Myra, this goal to become champs has taken on a whole new meaning.
The NFL Sunday crew talks about the cocky and brash chatter coming from some of the Giants the last couple weeks. Dale is surprised that Tom Coughlin allowed most of it to go down and says Belichick would never let that fly. The guys also touch on the little mistake the Giants team website made yesterday in putting up the "Giants are Super Bowl Champions" homepage yesterday - that's a no-no!
JaJuan Johnson spoke with Grande & Max after the Celtics beat the Bulls today at the Garden.
Sean Grande & Cedric Maxwell sat down with ESPN's Doris Burke during halftime of Celtics/Bulls
Doc Rivers & Sean Grande preview Celtics-Bulls today at the Garden. Tune in to Celtics Today at 3:00p to hear the full interview
Dustin tells us you can't hustle a hustler, and other funny anecdotes.
The Sox GM joined Glenn and Michael to talk Scutaro, Punto, Oswalt, Luxury Tax and all things off-season.
Dustin Pedroia joined the Big Show for his weekly segment, and talked about losing Scutaro, gaining Cody Ross and Nick Punto, and then got a surprise from his best friend.
Brad Marchand joins the show and talks about if Tim Thomas is a distraction to the team and why the Bruins have been struggling as of late.
Andrew joins D&C to discuss how he feels about Tim Thomas' political views and how Patrice Bergeron has been the MVP for the team so far this season. Andrew also talks about how they have to regroup and make adjustments to get out this funk the team is currently in.
Brad Marchand joins the show to talk about President Obama calling him out on stage and Tim Thomas skipping the White House visit.
Meter talks about the Celtics 88-87 OT loss to the Lakers last night, Kobe Bryant trying to recruit Rob Gronkowski to the Eagles, and Samantha DeFlaco who went to the Giants Super Bowl parade looking for Jets QB Mark Sanchez.
Andrew joins D&C to discuss how he feels about Tim Thomas' political views and how Patrice Bergeron has been the MVP for the team so far this season. Andrew also talks about how they have to regroup and make adjustments to get out this funk the team is currently in.
Tim Thomas is once again in the news for posting his political views on facebook but refuses to talk to the media about it. Is this situation becoming more than a distraction to the team especially with their recent play? D&C react.
Brad Marchand joins the show and talks about if Tim Thomas is a distraction to the team and why the Bruins have been struggling as of late.
Jackie Mac makes her weekly appearance and talks about the Celtics loss to the Lakers, the team's future, and what will happen with Paul Pierce.
In an ugly game, the Celtics lost to the Lakers in OT. Have we seen the last of the current Lakers Celtics rivalry?
We play the soundbite from the NFL Network from Super Bowl 46 where Bill Belichick is telling his defense 'this is still a Cruz and Nicks game'. The Patriots of course were then burned by Mario Manningham on the Giants game-winning drive. We discuss whether it was the right decision or not.
Glenn and Michael debate what, if anything, Shaq is bringing to the table for TNT's NBA pre and postgame coverage.
We talk about Tim Thomas refusing to speak to reporters about his political ramblings on Facebook, and about whether or not this is a media driven controversy, or a genuine distraction for Thomas' Bruins teammates.
The discussion of the Patriots loss in the Super Bowl and just like any other loss, the coaching is called into question and whether a defensive coordinator on staff would have helped Bill Belichick and the Patriots.
Mikey has made no bones about his feelings on Pau Gasol, what will he do if the Celtics trade Rondo for Gasol? Also our buddy LB calls in to talk about the Patriots Super Bowl loss.
Mikey talks to some Patriots fans who are still looking at the loss and breaking down what went wrong but are also looking to the future for the franchise.
Losing the Super Bowl? Terrrrrrrrrrrrrrible.
This week's whine of the week winner. If you are our winner please send an email with which whine you left and all of your information to whineoftheweek@weei.com
Live from Hurricane's... not Cocaine's which is where Oil Can Boyd wanted to be broadcasting from. Plus the Cranky Yankee Bitch reaches her tipping point.
Our friend from Pittsburgh, Mark Madden, joins D&C to give his take on the Joe Paterno/Penn State scandal and says Jerry Sandusky may have been 'Pimping Out Young Boys to Rich Donors.'
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