By the time 9 am rolls around Tuesday morning, the Bruins will either be in the process of getting Blake Wheeler at the price they want or starting down a road that could mean the end of the right wing's time in Boston.
The two sides have been apart on contract talks for much of the offseason, with communication-less stretches occurring in the weeks leading up to a dreaded arbitration meeting. A source indicated to WEEI.com late Monday night that Bruins general manager Peter Chiarelli and assistant GM Don Sweeney had a Monday night meeting in Toronto with Wheeler's camp in hopes of coming to a last-minute deal. As was the case with the rest of the negotiations, the talks didn't leave Wheeler reaching for a pen.
Opinions on Wheeler vary from one person to the next. For some, he's an up-and-coming forward with size and a scoring touch. For others, he's an underachiever and has yet to properly utilize his frame. What does this mean to an arbiter? That news remains forthcoming, but for now it's a bit of a guessing game. Here is what we do know, and what it means in the case of Wheeler v. Bruins.
MONEY
The arbitration process has no sympathy for teams tight against the cap, so the Bruins will need to make whatever adjustments they need to in order to sign both Wheeler and rookie center Tyler Seguin. Chiarelli said recently that the team's plan is to take care of Seguin once they've reached a deal with Wheeler.
Wheeler should get a deal somewhere in the $2 million range. Though he outperformed teammate Michael Ryder, to whom Chiarelli gave a deal worth $4 million a season, the argument cannot be made in arbitration, as free agent deals cannot be used as barometers in arbitration per the collective bargaining agreement.
The Bruins should hope Wheeler is awarded a deal no higher than $2.6 million. In such a scenario, the Bruins -- right now just over $12,000 under the cap, according to CapGeek.com -- could sign both Wheeler and Seguin and be approximately $3.5 million over the cap. In such a scenario, the team would be able to enter the season technically in good graces with the cap thanks to the temporary relief they will get from the injured Marco Sturm's cap hit. They would still need to lose $3.5 million in salary once they activated the winger however, so there's a good chance the Bruins may do something before then.
If the team becomes desperate to cut costs, Ryder could be the odd man out. Accepting Wheeler's award would open up a second buyout window for the Bruins. Chiarelli made it clear earlier in the offseason that he wasn't buying anybody out and actually mentioned Ryder by name as being safe. Still, it's an option that would help the Bruins keep Wheeler, sign Seguin and not have to worry about shopping Tim Thomas or Marc Savard. A smaller cost-cutting move would still need to be made, however, as buying out Ryder would save the team only $2.66 million.
PERFORMANCE
Wheeler hasn't exactly been the mark of consistency in his time as a Bruin. Though he's missed only one game in his two-year career, his stats were were better when the offense was better, which is quite understandable. Looking at a hockey card, however, all the stats read is a decline from one year to the next. It is for this reason that many fans called for the Bruins to offer him up to the Oilers at draft time in order move up from the second pick to the top choice.
Wheeler undoubtedly has the ability that led to the Coyotes selecting him fifth overall in the 2004 draft, but he's had his struggles. It's hard not to note that he went pointless from March 5 to April 16 last season. He was also a minus-4. Still, the numbers -- as a whole at least -- don't lie. Wheeler had a very strong rookie season in '08-'09 with 21 goals and 25 assists for 45 goals and last season finished third on the team with 18 goals despite his perceived sophomore slump.
It would be hard to believe the Bruins wouldn't like to see another season of what Wheeler can do. Should they bring him back for the season, he would be a restricted free agent once again after the '10-'11 campaign.
THE ROAD AHEAD
The Bruins chose for this hearing to yield a one-year deal rather than a two year pact. This makes a lot of sense for a few reasons. For starters, the aforementioned inconsistency would suggest they would like to use the year to evaluate whether he, like fellow young forwards David Krejci and Seguin, is a building blog or an expendable piece.
Also, whatever the Bruins pay Wheeler, especially given their cap situation, will impact the future of other big names on the roster. Patrice Bergeron, Zdeno Chara, Mark Stuart, Ryder, and Sturm will be free agents following the season and one would have to imagine the team is interested in doing what it has to retain Bergeron and Chara. If the Bruins enter next season on a budget they may run a bigger risk of losing one of their bigger stars.
The salary cap situation isn't exactly pretty, but this offseason has been going on for long enough that Bruins fans should be reserved to the fact that the team will somehow find a way. Does that mean they should expect the team to walk away from Wheeler? Don't count on it
DJ BEAN
BIO | ARCHIVE | BIG BAD BLOG
In the latest edition of the "It Is What It Is" podcast, Chris Price and CSNNE's Mike Giardi take a look at the Patriots offseason on both sides of the ball, try and get a handle on which new guys will make an impact first, and whether or not the Patriots have altered their style when it comes to drafting and developing wide receivers.
Mike Florio joined the program to discuss the Jets decision to release Tim Tebow, he said the situation is as disaster all around for the Jets and that the problems begins with owner Woody Johnson. Mike also said that he was disappointed with the Pats moving back in the first round.
One of the hardest working men in the biz, Mike Petraglia aka "Trags", sits down with Butch Stearns live in Foxborough to help break down all the latest Pats moves. He discusses his reaction to the trade in Round 1 and the guys those picks produced. Also, the boys talk about the decent trade the Pats made in acquiring LeGarrette Blount from Tampa Bay for Jeff Demps and a 7th rounder.
We check in with Danny Ainge for our first talk to him since the Celtics season ended last weekend. We talk about the future of the team, KG, Pierce, Doc Rivers and more, as Danny directly answers the rumors being floated by ESPN's Stephen A. Smith.
Jackie Mac joins the show to discuss the trade rumors swirling around Paul Pierce, KG, Doc Rivers and the Celtics. She also discusses the future of the Celtics head coach.
Stephen A. joined the program to discuss the trade rumors he has reported regarding a possible trade including Doc Rivers and the Clippers. Stephen A. also told the guys that he has heard that Danny and Doc may be tiring of working together.
Joe Castiglione talked with John Lackey after he picked up the W against the Twins. Lackey threw seven innings, and retired the 1st twelve batters of the game.
Dave O'Brien talked to John Farrell before the end of the Twins series. The Sox skipper said that Big Papi's success is no surprise given his work ethic.
John Farrell postgame press conference
Dale and DJ roll on with their puck talk and chat some more about the goalie matchup in this series, as well as the lack of a quality power play for both of these teams. In fact, DJ says the Rangers are even worse on the PP than the B’s! The guys also get into the resurgence of Milan Lucic and his deceptive speed and grit. Dale and DJ talk about the similar styles of play for these teams and look forward to Game 2.
Dale and DJ get into the two coaches and their polar opposite styles and demeanor. Both teams play a similar style, but the coaches certainly convey their messages in a different way. Dale isn't buying the Tortorella hype and thinks he's a little overrated. DJ thinks he's a good coach, but isn't a fan of anti-media stance. The guys also talk about Jagr and how he has not lived up to the hype. They weren't expecting him to light it up or be the savior, but DJ says he wasn't prepared for just how slow the aging veteran is. Another big topic for B's fans this season is the play of Tyler Seguin and why he has yet to become the superstar everyone anticipates he will be. This leads to Claude Julien's style and if he does actually have something against the younger players. That Iginla trade shows its ugly head again as well.
WEEI.com's DJ Bean joins Dale in studio for Sports Sunday to discuss the Bruins playoff run. Game 2 is later today and the guys discuss the results of the first game of the series. They get into the construction of the lines for the B's and if they would make any changes. DJ has a few ideas for the lines today. The boys also discuss the two goalies - Tuukka vs Henrik Lundqvist and wonder why people automatically think the Rangers have the edge at goalie. Finally, they get into the legacy and the decisions of Claude Julien and Peter Chiarelli.
Shawn joined the program to discuss another overtime win for the Bruins. When asked about Game 7 against Toronto, Thornton said that he would like to keep his specific comments in the dressing room private, but acknowledged that he encouraged Tyler Seguin to up his play and it paid off in overtime.
Barry joined the guys to help breakdown the Bruins overtime win last night in game one. Barry said that he has rarely seen a team dominate as much as the Bruins yet be forced to an overtime.
Boomer joined the program to discuss the tough loss for his beloved Rangers. Boomer told the guys that Lundqvist will be better in game two and predicted a seven game series.
Bruins rookie defenseman Matt Bartkowski has emerged as one of the young stars of the team and he joins Mut and Tom Caron to discuss his role on the team, why he's confident, and the trade that almost sent him to Calgary.
Millar joins the show to discuss the recent Sox slide, Jacoby Ellsbury's lack of power, and hitting in the big leagues.
Andy Brickley joins the show to discuss the Bruins Game 1 win over the Rangers, the play of the three young Bruins defensemen, and the fatigue Jagr has shown on the ice.
We talk all things game one with Jack Edwards of NESN, and get to hear a little from Jack's Finnish protege as well.
We tackle four topics we haven't yet touched upon today.. Joe Thornton and disappointing former Boston athletes, parking in Boston, buying jersey numbers and more...
We talk about the report that Rob Gronkowski may now be a candidate for back surgery with a disc problem. Is Gronk just an injury prone guy? Or is he not rehabbing proberly? Can the Pats build an offense around a guy who is so inconsistently on the field? We discuss.
The Bruins have almost finished raking the Leafs, the Red Sox struggle from the mound, Miami Heat fans show their level of class.
Daily Planet Wednesday May 8th
Today on the Daily Planet the Bruins take a 2-1 series lead, the Red Sox get a run-off win, and we hear about cannibals and bible thieves.
Sounds like a prostate exam to me!
Damn New Yorkers!
Sauce Man stylings!
Linda explains how the shootout transpired in Watertown during the early morning hours. She saw the first suspect mortally wounded and police beginning the manhunt for the second suspect.
More from this showWe check in with Danny Ainge for our first talk to him since the Celtics season ended last weekend. We talk about the future of the team, KG, Pierce, Doc Rivers and more, as Danny directly answers the rumors being floated by ESPN's Stephen A. Smith.
More from this showBuster Olney joins the show to discuss the muddled AL East, the average play of Ellsbury and how that will affect him in free agency, and Tropicana Field.
More from this showDale Arnold joined the program to preview the Bruins Rangers series with John, Gerry and Kirk. Dale thinks the Bruins have the advantage in the series over New York.
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