We know that some people think stats are for losers. But we believe that, when given some context and deconstructed with the help of some film breakdown, they can be very illustrative, and help give a clearer picture of where a team succeeds or fails. With that in mind, here are 10 stats that should give you a better idea of the strengths and weaknesses of the 2012 Patriots, and some likely points of emphasis heading into the offseason. (Stats are courtesy of WEEI.com, Gary “Nuggetpalooza” Marbry and ESPN Stats & Information.)
4: For several years, one of the Patriots’ trademarks has been to defer the coin toss (if not flat-out lose the toss) and kick off to start the game. That would allow them to take possession to start the second half, with the specific focus on scoring just before the end of the first half and on the first drive of the second half, which, if properly executed, would provide anywhere between a six and 14-point swing in their favor. However, New England struggled with that throughout the season -- ultimately, the Patriots scored four touchdowns with two minutes or less left in the half (second or fourth quarter), which was tied for eighth fewest in the league. Comparatively, the Steelers, Eagles, Saints, Raiders and Lions all had at least twice as many.
72.1: While he had another remarkable run where he spent the bulk of the year in the MVP discussion, Tom Brady and the Patriots were dismissed after a sloppy performance against Baltimore. In eight games (five regular season and three postseason), Brady's career passer rating against the Ravens is 72.1, which represents his lowest mark against any opponent. While Brady has a 5-3 record in games played against Baltimore, he has consistently turned in some of the worst performances of his career against the Ravens. In addition to the passer rating, his 57.7 completion percentage and 8:10 touchdown-to-interception ratio in eight games against Baltimore both represent his worst showing against any NFL opponent. (For what it’s worth, the Patriots are scheduled to travel to Baltimore for a game against the Ravens in 2013.)
3.9: The 2012 Patriots had the sixth-best rush defense in the league at 3.9 yards per rush. (Last season, the Patriots’ rush defense allowed 4.6 yards per rush, ranked 24th in the NFL.) In addition, despite facing 10 more rushes in the regular season this year (415) than last year (405), the Patriots’ defense allowed five rushes of at least 20 yards this season, half as many as last year. While the New England pass defense struggled at times, the run defense was equal to the task for most of the 2012 season. Only one running back (Ray Rice) hit them for 100 yards or more. (He finished with 101 yards in Baltimore’s win in September.) Defensive lineman Vince Wilfork was his usual steady self up front, while linebacker Brandon Spikes emerged as one of the most potent run stoppers in the league.
35.4: Before acquiring cornerback Aqib Talib in a trade with Tampa Bay November, the Patriots sent at least five rushers on 15.0 percent of plays, the most conservative defense in the league, and allowed an 85.6 Total QBR with at least five rushers (fourth-worst in NFL). After acquiring Talib, they sent added pressure on 35.4 percent of dropbacks, ninth-most aggressive in the league, and allowed an 18.2 Total QBR (seventh-best). The change in numbers is not completely because of Talib, but it’s not coincidental. The addition of the veteran corner allowed the Patriots to do some things that they couldn’t or wouldn’t do before he arrived, such as shuffling Devin McCourty from corner to safety and bumping Kyle Arrington into the slot. And while there are many variables in play when it comes to judging a successful pass defense, there’s no debate that all of the defensive numbers (including passing yards allowed per game, number of pass plays that went for 20 yards or more and total yards allowed per game) improved after Talib showed up.
-7: From 2010-2012, the Patriots are a combined plus-70 in turnover margin in the regular season, by far the best in the league in that span. (That included a league-high plus-25 this past regular season, a year where they had 20 interceptions and 21 fumbles recovered.) But during that same span in the postseason (six games), New England has a minus-seven turnover margin, the worst in the league in that stretch. That series includes seven interceptions thrown by quarterback Tom Brady, and a minus-three (including two picks by Brady) in last Sunday’s AFC title game defeat at the hands of the Ravens.
6: Patriots receivers had six drops on 72 targets deeper than 20 yards downfield this season. New England’s 8.3 drop percentage on those throws was the second highest in the league (trailing only the Bears, 8.6 percent). While STATS indicates that Wes Welker led the team in dropped passes with nine (tied for sixth in the league), it was Brandon Lloyd who had four drops on 26 deep (20 yards downfield) targets, a 15.4 drop percentage that ranked last among 86 players with at least eight targets. (One other odd statistical quirk about Lloyd: his lack of YAC, or yards after catch. On an offense that has annually had several pass catchers in the Top 20 when it comes to YAC -- Welker finished the year with 668 YAC, best in the league -- Lloyd ended the regular season with 180 YAC, the lowest total of any receiver who had at least 70 catches on the season.)
6: Stevan Ridley was one of six running backs in the NFL this season to finish with at least 290 carries, 1,200 yards, 4 yards per carry and 10 touchdowns. The LSU product, who ended the season with 290 carries, 1,263 rushing yards, 4.4 yards per carry and 12 touchdowns, joined a group of elite-level backs that included Arian Foster, Adrian Peterson, Alfred Morris, Doug Martin and Marshawn Lynch. The last New England running back to hit all those marks in the same season was Corey Dillion in 2004, who had 345 carries, 1.635 yards, 4.7 yards per carry and 12 touchdowns that season.
73: Over the course of the regular season, the catch rate of running back Danny Woodhead, who caught 40 of the 55 passes thrown in his direction. The percentage was the best of any New England skill position player who was targeted at least 10 times. Woodhead also became the first Patriots’ running back since Kevin Faulk in 2008 to get at least 40 carries and 40 catches in a single season -- he finished the regular season with 76 carries and 40 catches.
523: The Patriots ran the ball 523 times during the 2012 regular season -- the highest number of carries for a New England team since the 2004 team ran the ball 524 times over the course of the regular season. There was simply no comparison between the 2011 and 2012 running attacks: In the 2011 regular season, the Patriots had 438 carries, 1,764 yards, 4.0 yards per carry and 18 touchdowns. In the 2012 regular season, those numbers jumped to 523 carries, 2,184 yards, 4.2 yards per carry and 25 touchdowns. That’s an increase of six carries per game (from an average of 27 to 33) and 27 yards per game (from 110 yards per game to 137 yards per game), both of which represent sizable increases, particularly in this era of spread offenses. As a group, New England was able to hit 500 carries and 2,100 rushing yards and maintain an average of better than four yards per carry for the third time in the Bill Belichick era.
1,379: According to the NFL, Patriots center Ryan Wendell led the league in total snaps over the course of the regular season with 1,379. (That includes offensive and special teams snaps.) Left tackle Nate Solder (1,339) and defensive back Devin McCourty were ranked second and third, respectively.
CHRISTOPHER PRICE
In the latest edition of the "It Is What It Is" podcast, Chris Price and CSNNE's Mike Giardi take a look at the Patriots offseason on both sides of the ball, try and get a handle on which new guys will make an impact first, and whether or not the Patriots have altered their style when it comes to drafting and developing wide receivers.
Mike Florio joined the program to discuss the Jets decision to release Tim Tebow, he said the situation is as disaster all around for the Jets and that the problems begins with owner Woody Johnson. Mike also said that he was disappointed with the Pats moving back in the first round.
One of the hardest working men in the biz, Mike Petraglia aka "Trags", sits down with Butch Stearns live in Foxborough to help break down all the latest Pats moves. He discusses his reaction to the trade in Round 1 and the guys those picks produced. Also, the boys talk about the decent trade the Pats made in acquiring LeGarrette Blount from Tampa Bay for Jeff Demps and a 7th rounder.
We check in with Danny Ainge for our first talk to him since the Celtics season ended last weekend. We talk about the future of the team, KG, Pierce, Doc Rivers and more, as Danny directly answers the rumors being floated by ESPN's Stephen A. Smith.
Jackie Mac joins the show to discuss the trade rumors swirling around Paul Pierce, KG, Doc Rivers and the Celtics. She also discusses the future of the Celtics head coach.
Stephen A. joined the program to discuss the trade rumors he has reported regarding a possible trade including Doc Rivers and the Clippers. Stephen A. also told the guys that he has heard that Danny and Doc may be tiring of working together.
Buster Olney joins Mut and Merloni to talk about the struggling Ellsbury and what that is doing to his contract value when he becomes a free agent.
Terry Francona joins the Dennis and Callahan Show to discuss his first-place Indians team as well as his time in Boston. The former Boston manager also touches on his recent book co-authored by Dan Shaughnessy and Shaughnessy's recent dust-up with David Ortiz.
Joe Castiglione talked with John Lackey after he picked up the W against the Twins. Lackey threw seven innings, and retired the 1st twelve batters of the game.
McGuire joins Mut and Merloni to discuss the Bruins game 3 win, the Rangers awful power play, and the Shawn Thornton Derek Dorsett altercation.
Shawn joined the program to discuss his big night at MSG. He told the guys that it is not Marchand's job to fight and that he needs to be on the ice and out of the penalty box.
Cleveland Indians hottest team in baseball, yet remain last in attendance May 19, 2013 By AJ Kaufman 6 Comments There’s a scene in Major League where Bob Uecker, portraying the radio voice of the Indians, bemoans, “In case you haven’t noticed, and judging by the attendance you haven’t, the Indians have managed to win a few here and there, and are threatening to climb out of the cellar.” Well, that was nearly 25 years ago and fictional, but today’s reality is that Cleveland has won 17 of its last 21, and currently tops the AL Central with a mark of 25-17. No one in the majors is better than the Indians in the past month (20-7). That’s great news. The bad news, however, is the Tribe somehow remain in the MLB cellar when it comes to attendance. How can this be? The fact that I wrote on this same topic almost to the day last year – when only Tampa Bay drew fewer fans than Cleveland - may be even more troubling. Though roughly 34,000 watched a walk-off win Friday night against Seattle, perfect weather and free caps weren’t enough to draw more than 36,000 Saturday and Sunday combined. What did the Indians do in those tilts? They nabbed another walk-off win on Saturday, then the Indians crushed the great Felix Hernandez Sunday behind Justin Masterson, arguably the AL’s best pitcher right now. Fun fact: The Indians have already faced eight Cy Young Award winners in 2013: Bartolo Colon, R.A. Dickey, Roy Halladay, Cliff Lee, Jake Peavy, David Price, Justin Verlander and Hernandez. They have won seven out those eight matchups. Simply astounding. This offseason, the much-maligned Indians front office finally made a legitimate attempt to improve the team through free agency. I’m not talking an Ubaldo Jimenez-like trade, but rather smart acquisitions that brought veterans Mike Aviles, Michael Bourn, Jason Giambi, Scott Kazmir, Brett Myers, Mark Reynolds, Drew Stubbs and Nick Swisher to Cleveland. In addition to being a fantastic place to watch a game due to great egress and ingress, with extremely affordable tickets, the best promo lineup anywhere, Jacobs Field boasts overall, cooler, less muggy summer weather than most Midwestern locales. The team also lowered beer and hot dog prices to $4 and $3 respectively. What other professional stadium in any sport offers that? I have visited 28 of the 30 current Major League Baseball stadia, and few top The Jake when all angles are considered. I say that as a baseball fan, not an Indians fan. As for the putative “economic” angle, these are the same people who spend insane amounts of money to watch terrible football every fall and show up in decent numbers for putrid basketball in the winter. Irrespective of season length, those sports charge up to 10 times the price for a ticket, and the atmosphere isn’t half as fan-friendly as baseball. I understand fans’ lack of willingness to get on board to some degree. A decent recap of Cleveland’s decade of “rebuilding” can be read here and the team suffered a horrific collapse last August. However, in addition to all the benefits of attending games at Jacobs (now Progressive) Field, fans should also realize the team has potential and often exceeds preseason aspirations at any point without warning. Cleveland hosts the rival Detroit Tigers — heavy favorites to repeat as AL Central champs — Tuesday and Wednesday nights before hitting the road. The temperature should be pleasant at first pitch each evening so you’d expect The Jake to be full to watch the best hitter on the planet right now — but don’t count on it.
Terry Francona joins the Dennis and Callahan Show to discuss his first-place Indians team as well as his time in Boston. The former Boston manager also touches on his recent book co-authored by Dan Shaughnessy and Shaughnessy's recent dust-up with David Ortiz.
Shawn joined the program to discuss his big night at MSG. He told the guys that it is not Marchand's job to fight and that he needs to be on the ice and out of the penalty box.
Our afternoon host Mike Salk was offended at Gerry and Kirk's conversation on his favorite band Rush, the guys responded.
McGuire joins Mut and Merloni to discuss the Bruins game 3 win, the Rangers awful power play, and the Shawn Thornton Derek Dorsett altercation.
Buster Olney joins Mut and Merloni to talk about the struggling Ellsbury and what that is doing to his contract value when he becomes a free agent.
Mut and Merloni discuss the Derek Dorsett, Brad Marchand, and Shawn Thornton altercation and how great it was.
We talk to #54 about his career and well deserved induction to the Patriots Hall of Fame.
We tackle four off-topic topics! Today including RGIII's wedding registry, Tiger Woods, new putters in golf and more.
We check in with ESPN's great hockey analyst and former NHL coach Barry Melrose to get his take on this Bruins-Rangers series. We also ask the coach in him how he'd deal with the great play of the rookie defensemen when the vets get healthy... and his answer might surprise you.
The Bruins look to take a 3-0 series lead, Jon Lester gets his first loss, Dwight Howard has options in free agency.
Today on the Daily Planet the Bruins have a 2-0 lead over the New york Rangers, the Red Sox are back on the winning sde of things, and the noteable birthdays of the day.
The Bruins have almost finished raking the Leafs, the Red Sox struggle from the mound, Miami Heat fans show their level of class.
They're like a ray of morning sunshine on an otherwise gloomy day.
....uhhhh.....a bunch of bombs over there....
Sounds like a prostate exam to me!
Linda explains how the shootout transpired in Watertown during the early morning hours. She saw the first suspect mortally wounded and police beginning the manhunt for the second suspect.
More from this showJeff Bauman, a victim of the Boston Marathon bombing, joined the show to give the guys an update of his condition and a first-hand account of that terrible day. Jeff told the guys how he wrote the description of the bomber as soon as he could. Mr. Bauman added that he is aided every day with the knowledge that he is alive and the terrorist that detonated the bomb is dead.
More from this showBuster Olney joins the show to discuss the muddled AL East, the average play of Ellsbury and how that will affect him in free agency, and Tropicana Field.
More from this showShawn joined the show to discuss the teams great performance in game two against the Rangers. Shawn said that he wouldn't mind playing for John Tortorella because he seems like a funny guy.
More from this showElliotte Friedman joined the show to discuss the Bruins domination of the series thus far. He said that while nothing is certain he cannot see a way in which the Rangers come back and win the series.
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