For the second straight season, the Patriots and Ravens will meet at Gillette Stadium in the AFC title game. This will be the second meeting of the year between the two teams, and the sixth time between them in the last four years, so when we say these two teams know each other pretty well, we’re not kidding. But there’s still the potential for surprise -- with that in mind, in this edition of “Scout’s Take,” one NFL scout who has watched both the Patriots and the Ravens takes a look at some of the points of emphasis for both teams heading into Sunday’s game. (Per usual, we have the scout’s statements in italics, with our notes underneath.)
“This week against the Ravens, the Patriots should use the multiple attack that they used last week, for several reasons. They have several personnel matchup advantages against the Baltimore defense. As we saw last week, Shane Vereen out of backfield as a receiver is a winnable matchup. In addition, Aaron Hernandez, Wes Welker and Brandon Lloyd spread out the defense individually and as a group, and will also make things tougher for a Ravens’ secondary that has matchup problems. Adding Stevan Ridley and potential of the run makes it even harder for Baltimore to prepare for, especially when several of the pieces are in packages together and New England runs the hurry-up, no-huddle offense.”
Look for New England to try and put stress on the Baltimore pass defense with a combination of possibilities in the passing game. Last week against the Texans, running back Shane Vereen was able to provide a distinctly different look (not unlike how he was utilized in the Thanksgiving night win over the Jets) that gave the Texans problems. If the Patriots can get Vereen (and Danny Woodhead) matched up against the Baltimore linebackers in the passing game, that’s a winnable matchup for New England, particularly if the Patriots are able to spread things out with Wes Welker and Brandon Lloyd. (According to Pro Football Focus, the only Baltimore linebacker who has better than a +1 grade in pass coverage this season is Brendon Ayanbadejo, and he’s more of a special teams presence than anything else.)
“As for the Ravens, they should try to quick-strike the Patriots and take advantage of every opportunity on special teams. Special teams is the great equalizer in these type of games when one team has clear advantage.”
It’s important to remember that the Patriots’ pass defense is far better than it was back when the two teams met in September, but in that one, the Ravens were able to gash the Patriots with eight pass plays of 20 or more yards. Baltimore remains one of the best teams in the league when it comes to connecting on the deep ball -- Flacco was fifth in the league in pass plays of 20 or more yards with 60. (Anquan Boldin was ninth in the league with 17, while Torrey Smith had 15.) Flacco was also third in the league when it came to pass plays of 40 or more yards with 12. New England was one of the better kick coverage teams in the league in the regular season, but the Ravens also have quick strike ability when it comes to kick returns -- Jacoby Jones led a group that averaged a league-best 27.3 yards per kick return in the regular season. (Baltimore was the only team in the league to take two kick returns back for touchdown this season.) It’s something the Patriots have to watch out for, especially in the wake of their playoff win over the Texans where Houston’s Danieal Manning had three returns of 30-plus yards, including a 94-yarder.
“Even though the Patriots have lost Rob Gronkowski for the rest of the year, it’s a case of the rich getting richer in regards to personnel. Sure, the Patriots lose Gronk -- which may have more of an affect in the red zone than in the field -- but as we saw against the Texans, New England seems to have found another way to stress defensive matchups laterally or vertically with speed of running back Shane Vereen, which gives defensive coordinators another matchup to be concerned about.”
Without Gronkowski in the lineup for the rest of the year, look for New England to rely on a variety of pass catchers -- it’ll take a complete team effort to try and pick up the slack with Gronkowski on the shelf. But in this matchup, the Patriots will utilize some of their smaller, faster guys in hopes of putting stress on the Baltimore defenders, who have struggled tracking undersized running backs in the passing game. Vereen could be the big beneficiary this week when it comes to offensive opportunities. Against the Texans, he had seven carries for 41 yards and a touchdown, but also busted out of the backfield for five catches for 83 yards and a touchdown.
“As for Ray Lewis, his impact will be more motivational than physical. He is still very smart and instinctive, but his ability to play in space against all of the things New England does will be hard for him.”
The linebackers’ farewell tour touches down in Foxboro this week, and while he’s been able to pile up some impressive tackle numbers over Baltimore’s first two playoff games (he’s had 30 tackles, 19 of them solo), he hasn’t been as big a factor as he was in the past. He remains the emotional centerpiece of his team, and as a result, the rest of the franchise wants to make sure he ends his career on top. As a result, there will surely be lots of talk over the course of the week about how he can still bring it (Bill Belichick touched on some of that here), and there will surely be plenty of camera shots of him as he leads the Ravens through their pregame preparations. But the simple fact is that Lewis is not the player he once was, and can be exploited, particularly by an offense that will be looking to spread the field and create some unfavorable matchups.
CHRISTOPHER PRICE
Matt joined the program to discuss his first ever cornhole contest and to break down the Patriots offseason. He told the guys that he was upset that the Pats were unable to bring Wes Welker back to the team.
Tom Brady joined the program to discuss his upcoming charitable event supporting Best Buddies and his off-season. Tom said that he has learned not to worry about free agency decisions since he cant control any of them. Lastly he defended his over the top celebration at the Kentucky Derby.
In the latest edition of the "It Is What It Is" podcast, Chris Price and CSNNE's Mike Giardi take a look at the Patriots offseason on both sides of the ball, try and get a handle on which new guys will make an impact first, and whether or not the Patriots have altered their style when it comes to drafting and developing wide receivers.
Jackie MacMullan joins Mut and Merloni to discuss the latest rumors surrounding Celtics head coach Doc Rivers and whether he'll be back next season with the team.
We check in with Danny Ainge for our first talk to him since the Celtics season ended last weekend. We talk about the future of the team, KG, Pierce, Doc Rivers and more, as Danny directly answers the rumors being floated by ESPN's Stephen A. Smith.
Jackie Mac joins the show to discuss the trade rumors swirling around Paul Pierce, KG, Doc Rivers and the Celtics. She also discusses the future of the Celtics head coach.
Dave talked to the Sox skipper before the 3rd game of the Indians series. John said that the starting rotation is shaping into form.
John Ryder talked to Rob from WEEI.com before the game. Rob said that John Lackey isn't having command problems, unlike many Tommy John patients.
Kevin Millar joins the show to discuss the slumps of Jacoby Ellsbury and Will Middlebrooks, Tito's return to Fenway, and his reaction Dan Shaunghnessy's controversial column.
Shawn Thornton talks about what went wrong in Game 4 for the Bruins.
Andy Brickley joins the show to discuss his reaction to game 4 of the Bruins-Rangers series, and how he sees the rest of the series playing out
Barry joined the program to discuss the Bruins disappointing loss last night at MSG. He said that he was impressed with how Rask responded to questions after the game.
Barry joined the program to discuss the Bruins disappointing loss last night at MSG. He said that he was impressed with how Rask responded to questions after the game.
Dave Maloney returned to the show to discuss his Rangers unlikely win in game 4. He said that in all his years playing and calling hockey games he had not seen a softer goal than the one Rask allowed.
Andy from Dartmouth called in to talk Bruins but the discussion quickly got off track when he mentioned his nine bee hives.
McGuire joins the show to discuss the sub-par performance from Tuukka Rask, the Bruins young defensemen, and the potential for the Rangers to get back in the series.
Andy Brickley joins the show to discuss his reaction to game 4 of the Bruins-Rangers series, and how he sees the rest of the series playing out
Kevin Millar joins the show to discuss the slumps of Jacoby Ellsbury and Will Middlebrooks, Tito's return to Fenway, and his reaction Dan Shaunghnessy's controversial column.
Shawn Thornton calls in to talk about the Bruins losing in Game 4.
Tom Brady appeared with D and C this morning and talked about the team's OTA's, the comings and goings, and most importantly what went down when Wes Welker left town, and how does he feel about it?
Four guys, four topics we haven't mentioned today. Mark Sanchez, the Pacers blow it and more.
The Bruins look to take a 3-0 series lead, Jon Lester gets his first loss, Dwight Howard has options in free agency.
Today on the Daily Planet the Bruins have a 2-0 lead over the New york Rangers, the Red Sox are back on the winning sde of things, and the noteable birthdays of the day.
The Bruins have almost finished raking the Leafs, the Red Sox struggle from the mound, Miami Heat fans show their level of class.
Callers bitch about the Bruins loss, and we answer how long it takes to get over a relationship.
Kirk's still a jerk, but we want a SWEEP!
The Jerks are joined by another, Jerk Minihane.
Tom Brady joined the program to discuss his upcoming charitable event supporting Best Buddies and his off-season. Tom said that he has learned not to worry about free agency decisions since he cant control any of them. Lastly he defended his over the top celebration at the Kentucky Derby.
More from this showLinda explains how the shootout transpired in Watertown during the early morning hours. She saw the first suspect mortally wounded and police beginning the manhunt for the second suspect.
More from this showCallers bitch about the Bruins loss, and we answer how long it takes to get over a relationship.
More from this showA fiery Bobby Valentine joined Glenn Ordway and Michael Holley and fired back about rumors of him being late to the ballpark, the perception that he's given up on the year, and more on the 2012 Red Sox debacle.
More from this showBen joined the program to discuss the return of Terry Francona and said that he always had a good relationship with the former manager. Ben added that he thinks Ellsbury is in a slump due in part to the amount of left handed pitchers the team has faced.
More from this show