After suffering a surprising 24-23 loss to the Seahawks in Seattle, the Patriots return to Foxboro this week to face their divisional rivals from New York. While this matchup doesn’t boast the marquee showdown of last week’s game against the Seahawks -- when the Patriots brought the top offense into the contest against Seattle’s No. 1 defense -- this is a game with no shortage of storylines. In this edition of “Scout’s Take,” one NFL scout who has watched both the Patriots and the Jets takes a look at some of the points of emphasis for New England heading into Sunday’s game. (Per usual, we have the scout’s statements in italics, with our notes underneath.)
“The Jets will not want to put the ball in Mark Sanchez’s hands too much, regardless of New England’s recent struggles in the secondary. Instead, New York will try to establish the run and try to get big chunks with the play-action pass. The Jets don’t seem to trust Sanchez or their offensive line enough to drop back and pass 40 times a game, particularly against a defensive line that includes Chandler Jones. Also, Sanchez is most effective when you don’t put it all on his shoulders, and the Jets also lack weapons in the passing game.”
With the Patriots’ recent struggles in pass defense, it would seem to be a good opportunity for the Jets to try to throw, using options in the passing game like speedy young receivers Stephen Hill (eight catches, 103 yards, a team-leading three receiving touchdowns) or Jeremy Kerley (18 catches, 315 yards, two touchdowns). However, it remains to be seen how much the Jets trust Sanchez to open things up. Instead, look for them to cautiously try to mix things up, even against a New England run defense that has been very stout to this point in the season. (The New England run defense is sixth in the league, giving up an average of 82.7 yards per game.) Expect New York to look for opportunities in the passing game out of play action.
“When it comes to defending Tim Tebow, the Patriots have faced Tony Sparano and the wildcat before. The only difference is now he will have a guy that can pass the ball. They also had that in Miami with Pat White, but for the Patriots, it shouldn’t be a problem. Remember that Bill Belichick was the guy that solved the wildcat puzzle when it was used in Miami.”
The Jets have utilized Tebow in several different ways, including working as a part-time wildcat quarterback. When Tebow works in relief of Sanchez, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see the New England front seven rely on the same formula it used last season when it came to slowing down Tebow: Focus on maintaining gap discipline and making sure you don’t overrun the play. Defensive end Chandler Jones and outside linebacker/defensive end Rob Ninkovich must work to contain the quarterback from getting outside -- force him back into running lanes between the tackles, where linebackers like Brandon Spikes and Jerod Mayo can meet him in those gaps.
“Ultimately, the Patriots will exploit the Jets defense by using matchups and the Jets' tendencies against them. New York has a number of defensive holes, and Belichick is the master of game-planning to exploit weaknesses of schemes or particular players. Brady and the offense will have to execute without giving the ball away.”
The Patriots certainly have the advantage when it comes to several key matchups in this one, including the passing game, where the season-ending injury to cornerback Darrelle Revis has forced the Jets to make some defensive adjustments. (After the loss of one of the best defenders in the league, it’s a credit to the Jets that they are still fifth in the league against the pass, yielding an average of 209.3 yards per game.) However, while cornerback Antonio Cromartie certainly has stepped his game up in the absence of Revis, it appears that New York doesn’t have the depth at defensive back and safety to match New England’s options in the passing game, particularly the combination of wide receivers Wes Welker and Brandon Lloyd and tight ends Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez. It’s also worth noting that even in the wake of the struggles in the running game last week against the Seahawks, look for New England to try to run the ball against the Jets, who are 28th in the league against the run, allowing 150.5 yards per game.
“To close out games, the Patriots must be able to control the clock with some form of running game, and defensive playmakers need to make plays at those moments in the game when they need to. And frankly, you also can’t turn the ball over as many times as they did late against Seattle. Those extra possessions give the opponent the opportunities to capitalize on defensive weaknesses. In the end, I think games like that are also learning experiences for a young defense. It’s important to remember that the Patriots have always done a good job of getting better as the season goes along. They had the same issues last year but played well enough in the end to get to the Super Bowl.”
Closing out games remains an issue for the Patriots, who have three losses by a combined four points, with all three of those losses the result of fourth-quarter errors. In the wake of late defeats to the Ravens and Seahawks in which they lost late leads, New England has to have a stronger finishing kick. On offense, that means a more sustained running game in the fourth quarter to try to control the clock via their four-minute offense. On defense, that means an ability to get off the field on third down. In addition, Seattle was able to take advantage of two fourth-quarter interceptions of Brady, something you can’t do against a good young team. But as the scout mentioned, the 2011 Patriots had many of the same problems, and they came within one missed connection between Brady and Welker of winning another Super Bowl. Last year’s team improved as the season went on in several of the same areas that are currently bedeviling this season’s team. It will be interesting to see if the 2012 squad can show the same kind of improvement as the season goes on.
CHRISTOPHER PRICE
In the latest edition of the "It Is What It Is" podcast, Chris Price and CSNNE's Mike Giardi take a look at the Patriots offseason on both sides of the ball, try and get a handle on which new guys will make an impact first, and whether or not the Patriots have altered their style when it comes to drafting and developing wide receivers.
Mike Florio joined the program to discuss the Jets decision to release Tim Tebow, he said the situation is as disaster all around for the Jets and that the problems begins with owner Woody Johnson. Mike also said that he was disappointed with the Pats moving back in the first round.
One of the hardest working men in the biz, Mike Petraglia aka "Trags", sits down with Butch Stearns live in Foxborough to help break down all the latest Pats moves. He discusses his reaction to the trade in Round 1 and the guys those picks produced. Also, the boys talk about the decent trade the Pats made in acquiring LeGarrette Blount from Tampa Bay for Jeff Demps and a 7th rounder.
We check in with Danny Ainge for our first talk to him since the Celtics season ended last weekend. We talk about the future of the team, KG, Pierce, Doc Rivers and more, as Danny directly answers the rumors being floated by ESPN's Stephen A. Smith.
Jackie Mac joins the show to discuss the trade rumors swirling around Paul Pierce, KG, Doc Rivers and the Celtics. She also discusses the future of the Celtics head coach.
Stephen A. joined the program to discuss the trade rumors he has reported regarding a possible trade including Doc Rivers and the Clippers. Stephen A. also told the guys that he has heard that Danny and Doc may be tiring of working together.
Joe Castiglione talked with John Lackey after he picked up the W against the Twins. Lackey threw seven innings, and retired the 1st twelve batters of the game.
Dave O'Brien talked to John Farrell before the end of the Twins series. The Sox skipper said that Big Papi's success is no surprise given his work ethic.
John Farrell postgame press conference
Eddie Olczyk joins the show to discuss the Bruins Rangers series and what to expect with Game 3 back in NY. He also talks about Seguin's inconsistency and the role of Jaromir Jagr.
Kenny Albert joins Mut and Merloni to discuss the play of Henrik Lundqvist, changes John Torterella may make before tonight's game, and if home ice advantage will make a difference.
Elliotte Friedman joined the show to discuss the Bruins domination of the series thus far. He said that while nothing is certain he cannot see a way in which the Rangers come back and win the series.
Elliotte Friedman joined the show to discuss the Bruins domination of the series thus far. He said that while nothing is certain he cannot see a way in which the Rangers come back and win the series.
Steve joined the show to discuss the Rangers and their coach John Tortorella. Steve said that the Bruins have been the far better team thus far in the series.
Kirk and Gerry talked about game three tonight at Madison Square Garden between the Bruins and Rangers. Gerry and Kirk are not very confident in the ability of the Rangers to make this a series.
Eddie Olczyk joins the show to discuss the Bruins Rangers series and what to expect with Game 3 back in NY. He also talks about Seguin's inconsistency and the role of Jaromir Jagr.
Kenny Albert joins Mut and Merloni to discuss the play of Henrik Lundqvist, changes John Torterella may make before tonight's game, and if home ice advantage will make a difference.
Find out which WEEI host came out victorious in the latest Salk Vs. Mut battle.
What's better than a whole hour with NESN's Jack Edwards? Not much. We talk all hockey, all the time with Jack live from his study, with a "Loving Cup", whatever that is.
We talk hockey as the Bruins have had little problem taking a 2-0 series lead against the much talk about NY Rangers. Will this continue in games 3 and 4 at MSG? We discuss.
We tackle four topics we haven't yet touched upon today. Gronk!, Proms with celebs and athletes and much more.
Today on the Daily Planet the Bruins have a 2-0 lead over the New york Rangers, the Red Sox are back on the winning sde of things, and the noteable birthdays of the day.
The Bruins have almost finished raking the Leafs, the Red Sox struggle from the mound, Miami Heat fans show their level of class.
Daily Planet Wednesday May 8th
....uhhhh.....a bunch of bombs over there....
Sounds like a prostate exam to me!
Damn New Yorkers!
Linda explains how the shootout transpired in Watertown during the early morning hours. She saw the first suspect mortally wounded and police beginning the manhunt for the second suspect.
More from this showWe check in with Danny Ainge for our first talk to him since the Celtics season ended last weekend. We talk about the future of the team, KG, Pierce, Doc Rivers and more, as Danny directly answers the rumors being floated by ESPN's Stephen A. Smith.
More from this showBy and large, the focus of development in the minor leagues is on players. Still, there is a developmental path for coaches and managers in the farm system, as is evident from the fact that the previous two managers of the Red Sox' Triple-A affiliate in Pawtucket -- Torey Lovullo (2010) and Arnie Beyeler (2011-12) are now both on the Red Sox' big league coaching staff. They share their insights about the differences between player and coaching expectations in Triple-A vs. the majors, while discussing professional development from the perspective of former minor league managers who aspire to similar positions in the big leagues.
More from this showJohn, Gerry and Kirk give their things that they would never do, listeners joined on the WEEI yakoff app with their thoughts.
More from this showJeff Bauman, a victim of the Boston Marathon bombing, joined the show to give the guys an update of his condition and a first-hand account of that terrible day. Jeff told the guys how he wrote the description of the bomber as soon as he could. Mr. Bauman added that he is aided every day with the knowledge that he is alive and the terrorist that detonated the bomb is dead.
More from this show