FOXBORO -- In 2010, no team in the NFL was better when it came to takeaways than the Patriots. In 2011, it’s a different story.
Last season, the Patriots defense had an utterly ridiculous +28 takeaway ratio, finishing the year with 25 interceptions and 13 fumbles recovered while only giving the ball away 10 times (five interceptions and five fumbles). During the regular season, that allowed New England to mask some of its overall defensive deficiencies, including the fact that the Patriots had the 30th ranked pass-defense and a historically bad third-down defense.
Through eight games last season, the Patriots were already at +5 in turnover margin, and would quickly be on their way to that +28, as they turned the ball over just once the rest of the regular season. This season, the Patriots are straight up even after eight games, with 14 takeaways (10 interceptions and four fumbles) and 14 giveaways (10 interceptions and four fumbles). That puts them tied for 15th with the Cowboys. (By way of comparison, the Lions, 49ers and Packers are the Top 3 at +13, +12 and +11, respectively. Remarkably, the Steelers have the worst ratio in the league at -11.)
For the Patriots, their giveaways have come in bunches -- 12 of their 14 turnovers have come in three games. Meanwhile the same has been true of their takeaways -- the Patriots had four takeaways (two fumbles, two interceptions) against the Chargers, two (a pair of interceptions) against the Raiders and another two (one fumble, one interception) against the Cowboys.
Yet the takeaways aren’t coming with the same frequency as they did in 2010. What are some of the reasons behind New England’s turnover turnaround this year? On defense, Sam Monson of Pro Football Focus says there is two statistical reasons the Patriots are forcing fewer turnovers this season than last year.
“Last season, the Patriots cornerbacks combined for 26 passes defensed. They got eight picks, with seven of them coming from Devin McCourty,” Monson said of the Patriots, who are -8 in the takeaway department in their three losses. “This season, McCourty has struggled and the corner group has only notched nine passes defensed. They’ve got just five picks on top of that, all from Kyle Arrington.
“Another stat to suggest they’re not as close in coverage -- last season, the Patriots corners allowed 471 yards after the catch all season as a group. This season already they’ve allowed 387. They’re also all being beaten for bigger averages than last season. McCourty is giving up 13.8 yards per reception this season -- last season it was just 10.7. The only exception to that is Arrington, who has actually gone from 15.3 to 14.8.
“I think when you look at the numbers for the cornerbacks in particular you can see that they’re just not close enough to make plays on the football. They’re being beaten far worse than they were last season, and that will cost you big plays.”
On the other side of the ball, Tom Brady is having an uncharacteristically bad season when it comes to interceptions. He has already thrown 10 picks, and is on pace to surpass his career high of 14, which he has done three different times. It’s a long way from last season, where Brady set an NFL record by going 335 consecutive pass attempts without an interception before getting picked in the 2011 season-opener in Miami.
Many of Brady’s picks have been tipped balls -- four of his interceptions were tipped by defensive players and two were tipped by teammates, including a catchable ball deflected by tight end Aaron Hernandez near the goal line in a Week 5 win over the Jets.
“I’m sure Tom would like to maybe have a couple of those back,” Belichick said. “[When] a quarterback has a good arm like Tom does and is accurate, sometimes you feel like you can get a ball into a receiver and a lot of times he does, and sometimes he doesn’t.”
“I’ve just got to make better decisions,” Brady said. “Some teams have gotten their hands on some balls and tipped some balls. Every team does that...You throw the ball and they get their hand on it and make a play. It’s just part of the game and part of football. You try to not have it happen as an offense; when it does, you just move on.
“I don’t feel like we can’t figure it out,” Brady added. “We’ve showed we can produce. We’ve made plenty of good plays. There’s no doubt about that. It’s just that we’ve got to eliminate some of the ones that are holding us back, namely the turnovers.”
CHRISTOPHER PRICE
In the latest edition of the "It Is What It Is" podcast, Chris Price and CSNNE's Mike Giardi take a look at the Patriots offseason on both sides of the ball, try and get a handle on which new guys will make an impact first, and whether or not the Patriots have altered their style when it comes to drafting and developing wide receivers.
Mike Florio joined the program to discuss the Jets decision to release Tim Tebow, he said the situation is as disaster all around for the Jets and that the problems begins with owner Woody Johnson. Mike also said that he was disappointed with the Pats moving back in the first round.
One of the hardest working men in the biz, Mike Petraglia aka "Trags", sits down with Butch Stearns live in Foxborough to help break down all the latest Pats moves. He discusses his reaction to the trade in Round 1 and the guys those picks produced. Also, the boys talk about the decent trade the Pats made in acquiring LeGarrette Blount from Tampa Bay for Jeff Demps and a 7th rounder.
We check in with Danny Ainge for our first talk to him since the Celtics season ended last weekend. We talk about the future of the team, KG, Pierce, Doc Rivers and more, as Danny directly answers the rumors being floated by ESPN's Stephen A. Smith.
Jackie Mac joins the show to discuss the trade rumors swirling around Paul Pierce, KG, Doc Rivers and the Celtics. She also discusses the future of the Celtics head coach.
Stephen A. joined the program to discuss the trade rumors he has reported regarding a possible trade including Doc Rivers and the Clippers. Stephen A. also told the guys that he has heard that Danny and Doc may be tiring of working together.
Dave O'Brien talked to John Farrell before the end of the Twins series. The Sox skipper said that Big Papi's success is no surprise given his work ethic.
John Farrell postgame press conference
Joe Castiglione and Dave O'Brien talked to David Ortiz after the Red Sox beat the Twins 12-5. Big Papi said that team chemistry is great, that the new guys see the Sox way of doing things.
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Dale and DJ get into the two coaches and their polar opposite styles and demeanor. Both teams play a similar style, but the coaches certainly convey their messages in a different way. Dale isn't buying the Tortorella hype and thinks he's a little overrated. DJ thinks he's a good coach, but isn't a fan of anti-media stance. The guys also talk about Jagr and how he has not lived up to the hype. They weren't expecting him to light it up or be the savior, but DJ says he wasn't prepared for just how slow the aging veteran is. Another big topic for B's fans this season is the play of Tyler Seguin and why he has yet to become the superstar everyone anticipates he will be. This leads to Claude Julien's style and if he does actually have something against the younger players. That Iginla trade shows its ugly head again as well.
WEEI.com's DJ Bean joins Dale in studio for Sports Sunday to discuss the Bruins playoff run. Game 2 is later today and the guys discuss the results of the first game of the series. They get into the construction of the lines for the B's and if they would make any changes. DJ has a few ideas for the lines today. The boys also discuss the two goalies - Tuukka vs Henrik Lundqvist and wonder why people automatically think the Rangers have the edge at goalie. Finally, they get into the legacy and the decisions of Claude Julien and Peter Chiarelli.
Shawn joined the program to discuss another overtime win for the Bruins. When asked about Game 7 against Toronto, Thornton said that he would like to keep his specific comments in the dressing room private, but acknowledged that he encouraged Tyler Seguin to up his play and it paid off in overtime.
Barry joined the guys to help breakdown the Bruins overtime win last night in game one. Barry said that he has rarely seen a team dominate as much as the Bruins yet be forced to an overtime.
Boomer joined the program to discuss the tough loss for his beloved Rangers. Boomer told the guys that Lundqvist will be better in game two and predicted a seven game series.
Bruins rookie defenseman Matt Bartkowski has emerged as one of the young stars of the team and he joins Mut and Tom Caron to discuss his role on the team, why he's confident, and the trade that almost sent him to Calgary.
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Andy Brickley joins the show to discuss the Bruins Game 1 win over the Rangers, the play of the three young Bruins defensemen, and the fatigue Jagr has shown on the ice.
We talk all things game one with Jack Edwards of NESN, and get to hear a little from Jack's Finnish protege as well.
We tackle four topics we haven't yet touched upon today.. Joe Thornton and disappointing former Boston athletes, parking in Boston, buying jersey numbers and more...
We talk about the report that Rob Gronkowski may now be a candidate for back surgery with a disc problem. Is Gronk just an injury prone guy? Or is he not rehabbing proberly? Can the Pats build an offense around a guy who is so inconsistently on the field? We discuss.
The Bruins have almost finished raking the Leafs, the Red Sox struggle from the mound, Miami Heat fans show their level of class.
Daily Planet Wednesday May 8th
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Sounds like a prostate exam to me!
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Sauce Man stylings!
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