Regardless of whether the Celtics would be a better team without Rajon Rondo in the long term, they've played better without him this season. With the deadline approaching, it raises a question as to whether Celtics president of basketball operations Danny Ainge will shop his biggest trade chip in Rondo.
The Celtics should not trade Rondo, but they certainly should take this opportunity to encourage their star point guard to change his game for the better of the team. Over the years, as the Celtics have become Rondo's team, he has failed to take his game to the next level, one that elite point guards in the NBA reach.
In the time the Celtics have logged a record of 8-1 since Rondo's injury, it has become clear Rondo has become the team's facilitator to a fault. His ball-handling and passing skills are on par with those of any point guard in the league, but we have learned those qualities alone don't always translate to wins. Teammates need to feel valuable on both ends of the floor, and with Rondo dominating the ball on offense while, at times, giving a lackluster effort on defense, the Celtics have not played better with him on the floor.
Besides the team's record, there are other statistics that point to an opportunity for growth in Rondo's game. For one, Rondo could find higher-percentage shots for his teammates. As the point guard seemingly has become infatuated with the assist statistic, he has increasingly looked to end just about every possession with a pass that sets up a teammate. Too often, he’ll direct traffic from the top of the key while dribbling or holding the ball, and the shots late in the shot clock aren't the highest percentage shots on the floor. With Rondo in the lineup this season, the Celtics ranked 23rd among all teams in field goal attempts at the rim. They have shown improvement, albeit slight improvement, in getting shots at the rim without their best passer on the floor, climbing one spot in the rankings over the last eight games.
It seems that Rondo often is penetrating only to kick the ball out to an open shooter. In transition, he often takes an angle across the court at the free throw line to set up a drop-off pass to a jump shooter waiting at the elbow.
Going back to the numbers, Rondo ranks second among all NBA players in drives per game, according to statistics derived from NBA teams' videotaping practices by Grantland.com writer Zach Lowe. The top four players in drives per game are Tony Parker (10.8), Rondo (10.1), Russell Westbrook (9.3) and Jrue Holiday (9.2).
Certainly this is a positive statistic for Rondo, showing his aggressive nature and desire to get to the rim. Rondo can improve in finishing his drives with more attempts at the rim. He ranks last among those four players in attempts at the rim per game (4.8), behind Westbrook (6.2), Parker (5.7) and Holiday (slightly higher at 4.8). The eye test tells us any shot for Rondo at the rim is a good shot, as he is a master at using the glass and angles to convert layups. The stats tell the same story. Rondo shoots 62.1 percent on his attempts at the rim, comparable to Parker (69.7), Holiday (68.7) and Westbrook (59.5).
One notable discrepancy between Rondo's attempts-at-the-rim statistics and those of the other three players is how infrequently Rondo's field goals are assisted. Each of the other three players converts a shot at the rim with an assist rate between 26.3 and 27.9 percent. Rondo's shots are assisted 15.9 percent of the time. This discrepancy would point to Rondo's lack of movement to the rim without the ball, and his dominance of the ball in general. When Rondo gets to the rim, it is typically on a dribble-drive rather than a cut.
One other notable statistic is that when Rondo doesn't get all the way to the rim, he is less likely to shoot than the other three players. Parker, who has mastered the floater, shoots the highest rate between 3-9 feet, attempting 2.4 shots per game. Holiday (1.6), Westbrook (1.5) and Rondo (1.3) shoot less frequently, and with good reason. Parker shoots 52.1 percent from that range, while (Holiday 41.1), Westbrook (39.7) and Rondo (41.2) do not shoot a high enough percentage to warrant making it a regular part of their arsenal.
Through these numbers, we see that while Rondo is being as aggressive as any player in the league besides Parker in driving the ball to the basket, he is not finishing at the rim enough, choosing instead to pass to jump shooters. It's a strategy that worked well with a catch-and-shoot player like Ray Allen but was not as successful this season with players like Jason Terry and Jeff Green.
Parker certainly is an interesting comparison to Rondo in that the players entered the NBA with similar skills sets and have experienced similar levels of team success. Parker was drafted by the Spurs at age 19 and was the starting point guard for a championship team in his second season. Rondo entered the NBA at 20 and also was the starting point guard for a championship team in his second season.
Like Rondo, Parker’s shooting was his biggest weakness coming into the league. In his first season, he shot 41.9 percent from the field and 67.5 percent from the line. Opposing guards used to defend Parker by giving him plenty of space beyond 20 feet, daring him to beat them with his jump shot. To this day, Parker still is not a 3-point shooter. He attempts only 1.1 treys per game, actually less than Rondo’s average of 1.3. But Parker has improved his game in nearly every facet. He has become one of the league’s best finishers at the rim despite his size, and his craftiness inside 15 feet gives him additional scoring options. Now in his 12th season, Parker is shooting 53.6 percent from the field, and in a sign that a player’s free throw percentage can improve through hard work, he is shooting a career-best 83.0 percent from the line.
Rondo also came into the league as a poor shooter for a guard. In his first season, he shot 41.8 percent from the field and 64.7 from the line. As he’s matured as a player, he’s found ways to get easier baskets. He shot 48.4 percent from the field this season but has yet to show any improvement at the line, where he shot 64.5 percent. The low percentage at the line might best explain Rondo’s preference to drive and pass rather than take contact at the rim.
One could make the point that Rondo and Parker simply are different players. Parker is more of a scoring point guard who has never averaged more than 7.7 assists per game. Rondo is a pass-first distributor who has never approached the 20.8 points per game Parker is averaging this season. That being said, both guards are directing an offensive attack that is built around a Hall of Fame power forward on the downside of his career (Tim Duncan/Kevin Garnett) and an aging swingman (Manu Ginobili/Paul Pierce). Parker’s style of play has produced better results in terms of wins and losses over his career, including three Spurs championships. Since the start of the 2010-11 season, the Spurs have gone 153-49. Rondo’s Celtics have gone 123-77.
In a recent article in the Sporting News, Parker talked about his maturation from his rookie season, when Spurs coach Gregg Popovich used to battle with him about his shot selection and decision-making, to this season, when Popovich believes Parker is playing like the best point guard in the NBA.
“When you have Coach Pop screaming at you every day, it will make you pass the ball,” Parker said. “He is always big on, you have to find a better shot. Always trying to find the better shot, the better shot all season long, make the extra pass. You know, we have great shooters on the team. We have guys who can penetrate and find open guys, so we like to play like that.”
Parker’s acceptance of coaching and his improvement over the course of his career is one of the better stories in the NBA during this All-Star weekend. It is unclear whether Rondo has the temperament or self-awareness to change his game in a similar way throughout his career. At 26, Rondo has proved to be a player with all of the skills to become one of the league’s best players. He has also proved to be a player who is comfortable putting his best skills on display on the biggest of stages, but perhaps doesn’t spend enough time refining the aspects of his game that need improvement. As Rondo sits back and watches his teammates thrive in his absence, he might be questioning whether his individual achievements -- leading the league in assists, collecting triple-doubles, earning All-Star starter recognition -- are in the best interests of his team. We won’t know that for certain until the start of next season. One thing we do know: Tony Parker, the man with three NBA championship rings, has never worried about leading the league in assists.
In the latest edition of the "It Is What It Is" podcast, Chris Price and CSNNE's Mike Giardi take a look at the Patriots offseason on both sides of the ball, try and get a handle on which new guys will make an impact first, and whether or not the Patriots have altered their style when it comes to drafting and developing wide receivers.
Mike Florio joined the program to discuss the Jets decision to release Tim Tebow, he said the situation is as disaster all around for the Jets and that the problems begins with owner Woody Johnson. Mike also said that he was disappointed with the Pats moving back in the first round.
One of the hardest working men in the biz, Mike Petraglia aka "Trags", sits down with Butch Stearns live in Foxborough to help break down all the latest Pats moves. He discusses his reaction to the trade in Round 1 and the guys those picks produced. Also, the boys talk about the decent trade the Pats made in acquiring LeGarrette Blount from Tampa Bay for Jeff Demps and a 7th rounder.
We check in with Danny Ainge for our first talk to him since the Celtics season ended last weekend. We talk about the future of the team, KG, Pierce, Doc Rivers and more, as Danny directly answers the rumors being floated by ESPN's Stephen A. Smith.
Jackie Mac joins the show to discuss the trade rumors swirling around Paul Pierce, KG, Doc Rivers and the Celtics. She also discusses the future of the Celtics head coach.
Stephen A. joined the program to discuss the trade rumors he has reported regarding a possible trade including Doc Rivers and the Clippers. Stephen A. also told the guys that he has heard that Danny and Doc may be tiring of working together.
Joe Castiglione talked with John Lackey after he picked up the W against the Twins. Lackey threw seven innings, and retired the 1st twelve batters of the game.
Dave O'Brien talked to John Farrell before the end of the Twins series. The Sox skipper said that Big Papi's success is no surprise given his work ethic.
John Farrell postgame press conference
Dale and DJ roll on with their puck talk and chat some more about the goalie matchup in this series, as well as the lack of a quality power play for both of these teams. In fact, DJ says the Rangers are even worse on the PP than the B’s! The guys also get into the resurgence of Milan Lucic and his deceptive speed and grit. Dale and DJ talk about the similar styles of play for these teams and look forward to Game 2.
Dale and DJ get into the two coaches and their polar opposite styles and demeanor. Both teams play a similar style, but the coaches certainly convey their messages in a different way. Dale isn't buying the Tortorella hype and thinks he's a little overrated. DJ thinks he's a good coach, but isn't a fan of anti-media stance. The guys also talk about Jagr and how he has not lived up to the hype. They weren't expecting him to light it up or be the savior, but DJ says he wasn't prepared for just how slow the aging veteran is. Another big topic for B's fans this season is the play of Tyler Seguin and why he has yet to become the superstar everyone anticipates he will be. This leads to Claude Julien's style and if he does actually have something against the younger players. That Iginla trade shows its ugly head again as well.
WEEI.com's DJ Bean joins Dale in studio for Sports Sunday to discuss the Bruins playoff run. Game 2 is later today and the guys discuss the results of the first game of the series. They get into the construction of the lines for the B's and if they would make any changes. DJ has a few ideas for the lines today. The boys also discuss the two goalies - Tuukka vs Henrik Lundqvist and wonder why people automatically think the Rangers have the edge at goalie. Finally, they get into the legacy and the decisions of Claude Julien and Peter Chiarelli.
Shawn joined the program to discuss another overtime win for the Bruins. When asked about Game 7 against Toronto, Thornton said that he would like to keep his specific comments in the dressing room private, but acknowledged that he encouraged Tyler Seguin to up his play and it paid off in overtime.
Barry joined the guys to help breakdown the Bruins overtime win last night in game one. Barry said that he has rarely seen a team dominate as much as the Bruins yet be forced to an overtime.
Boomer joined the program to discuss the tough loss for his beloved Rangers. Boomer told the guys that Lundqvist will be better in game two and predicted a seven game series.
Bruins rookie defenseman Matt Bartkowski has emerged as one of the young stars of the team and he joins Mut and Tom Caron to discuss his role on the team, why he's confident, and the trade that almost sent him to Calgary.
Millar joins the show to discuss the recent Sox slide, Jacoby Ellsbury's lack of power, and hitting in the big leagues.
Andy Brickley joins the show to discuss the Bruins Game 1 win over the Rangers, the play of the three young Bruins defensemen, and the fatigue Jagr has shown on the ice.
We talk all things game one with Jack Edwards of NESN, and get to hear a little from Jack's Finnish protege as well.
We tackle four topics we haven't yet touched upon today.. Joe Thornton and disappointing former Boston athletes, parking in Boston, buying jersey numbers and more...
We talk about the report that Rob Gronkowski may now be a candidate for back surgery with a disc problem. Is Gronk just an injury prone guy? Or is he not rehabbing proberly? Can the Pats build an offense around a guy who is so inconsistently on the field? We discuss.
The Bruins have almost finished raking the Leafs, the Red Sox struggle from the mound, Miami Heat fans show their level of class.
Daily Planet Wednesday May 8th
Today on the Daily Planet the Bruins take a 2-1 series lead, the Red Sox get a run-off win, and we hear about cannibals and bible thieves.
Sounds like a prostate exam to me!
Damn New Yorkers!
Sauce Man stylings!
Linda explains how the shootout transpired in Watertown during the early morning hours. She saw the first suspect mortally wounded and police beginning the manhunt for the second suspect.
More from this showWe check in with Danny Ainge for our first talk to him since the Celtics season ended last weekend. We talk about the future of the team, KG, Pierce, Doc Rivers and more, as Danny directly answers the rumors being floated by ESPN's Stephen A. Smith.
More from this showBuster Olney joins the show to discuss the muddled AL East, the average play of Ellsbury and how that will affect him in free agency, and Tropicana Field.
More from this showDale Arnold joined the program to preview the Bruins Rangers series with John, Gerry and Kirk. Dale thinks the Bruins have the advantage in the series over New York.
More from this showBoomer joined the program to discuss the tough loss for his beloved Rangers. Boomer told the guys that Lundqvist will be better in game two and predicted a seven game series.
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