FORT MYERS, Fla. -- A few years ago, David Ortiz offered this all-too-true statement: "The last time I checked, they don't put spring training stats on the back of baseball cards."
He was right on.
But there is one stat, when coupled with the news of the day/week/month/entire camp, that should offer a potentially uncomfortable reminder for the Red Sox -- they are dead last of all spring training teams right now in home runs (6). (This while Seattle has blasted 30.)
Why does this matter? Because Thursday's post-running interview with David Ortiz planted the notion that one of the Red Sox' chief power threats might not be present come April 1.
“Like I am right now? I don’t think I can play like that,” Ortiz said after testing his injured Achilles. “If it gets better and it doesn’t bother me that much, yes, I’ll probably be able to deal with it.
“I have to get out of my mind the rushing [trying to be ready for Opening Day] thing, because that just gets me worse. I have to stick with the plan and try not get it worse."
Ortiz obviously has proved to be more than just a source for a good majority of the Red Sox' home runs in recent years. He is a good hitter who helps the line move, possessing the third-best OPS (1.024) in the majors before succumbing to his injury last July.
Without Ortiz in the lineup last season, the Red Sox went 22-48. Since 2007, the team has been one game under .500 (91-92) without Ortiz while going 443-346 with him.
But the question is: Can this Red Sox lineup function without Ortiz, and specifically the designated hitter's ability to hit the ball over the fence?
"It's kind of a situational thing because if our goal is to score 850-plus runs a year, is that reliant on one 30-home run hitter," Farrell said. "If we can just say, 'OK, Ortiz and [Mike] Napoli can be two 30-home run guys,' we would sign up for that right now because we know we have higher on-base guys around them. But again, it all comes back to what is the makeup of our lineup and not just two guys. That's not to short-change their importance and presence in the lineup, but it's total number of runs scored in my mind."
Said Napoli: "I think [home runs are] important because you can change a game with one swing. To have guys in the lineup who are capable of doing that is big to a team."
While some will suggest the Red Sox were offering Ortiz a semblance lifetime achievement when presenting his latest contract, the on-field importance of keeping him around can't be ignored. Middle-of-the-order hitters have become the hardest kind of player to find in baseball, surpassing the ultra-valuable top-of-the-rotation pitcher.
There were 27 players in the majors who hit 30 or more home runs last season, compared to 50 pitchers whose ERA was 3.85 or better. (The major league average ERA was 4.01.)
Right now, the Red Sox possess two, with the potential to find four, players who can come away with 30 homers. There's Napoli and Ortiz, with Will Middlebrooks offering some additional hope. Jacoby Ellsbury also has to enter the equation considering he did hit 32 in '11.
Now, you don't absolutely need two boppers hitting 30-plus homers to succeed. After all, the Giants won the World Series with the fewest home runs in the major leagues, and sixth-fewest of any team since 2000. San Francisco's top power threats? Buster Posey (24 homers) and Pablo Sandoval (12). What they did was pitch and hit when it counted, finishing with the second-highest batting average with runners on base, and fifth-best with runners in scoring position. The Giants also led the big leagues in sacrifices, while scoring a respectable 718 runs.
But, San Francisco aside, 2012 still reiterated that hitting home runs can sure make a team's life a whole lot easier, especially in the American League.
Of the AL teams to make the postseason, only Oakland didn't possess a pair of 30-or-better home run hitters. Detroit had Miguel Cabrera (44) and Prince Fielder (32). The Yankees' duo was Curtis Granderson (43) and Robinson Cano (33). The Rangers possessed both Josh Hamilton (43) and Adrian Beltre (36). And the Orioles claimed Chris Davis (33) and Adam Jones (32).
But what if the Red Sox don't find a way to keep Ortiz (and Napoli) on the field? Is this a team that can make up for such a power drought?
While Farrell wasn't around to see how punchless the Red Sox became without Ortiz last season, he did get a taste of living life one less home run hitter thanks to Jose Bautista's wrist injury. Before Bautista went down for basically the season on July 16, the Jays were third in the majors in runs scored, and second in home runs. After? Toronto managed the fifth-fewest runs in the majors.
Sound familiar?
The Red Sox could very well uncover the type of lineup that doesn't need two 30-home run threats. After all, the last time they won a World Series only one player (Ortiz) hit over 25 homers, but the team still finished with the fourth-most runs in the majors (867).
It might be that the skill-set of the newly formed Red Sox lineup will be enough to avoid leaning on middle-of-the-order power. A guy like Jonny Gomes, for instance, can pick up the slack with his skill-set. (Gomes led all big leaguers in '12 with runners in scoring position and two outs, hitting .480.)
And if you find enough on-base guys, as the Red Sox are banking on rolling out this time around, the home runs you do hit will mean more.
"It can possibly be a momentum-change, but that being said, I think a three-run home run is more valuable than three solos," Gomes said. "Get an out, get an out, hit a solo homer, get an out. There's really no momentum there. It's quantity over quality."
Without Ortiz, the Red Sox will need a little of everything … and then some.
ROB BRADFORD
In the latest edition of the "It Is What It Is" podcast, Chris Price and CSNNE's Mike Giardi take a look at the Patriots offseason on both sides of the ball, try and get a handle on which new guys will make an impact first, and whether or not the Patriots have altered their style when it comes to drafting and developing wide receivers.
Mike Florio joined the program to discuss the Jets decision to release Tim Tebow, he said the situation is as disaster all around for the Jets and that the problems begins with owner Woody Johnson. Mike also said that he was disappointed with the Pats moving back in the first round.
One of the hardest working men in the biz, Mike Petraglia aka "Trags", sits down with Butch Stearns live in Foxborough to help break down all the latest Pats moves. He discusses his reaction to the trade in Round 1 and the guys those picks produced. Also, the boys talk about the decent trade the Pats made in acquiring LeGarrette Blount from Tampa Bay for Jeff Demps and a 7th rounder.
We check in with Danny Ainge for our first talk to him since the Celtics season ended last weekend. We talk about the future of the team, KG, Pierce, Doc Rivers and more, as Danny directly answers the rumors being floated by ESPN's Stephen A. Smith.
Jackie Mac joins the show to discuss the trade rumors swirling around Paul Pierce, KG, Doc Rivers and the Celtics. She also discusses the future of the Celtics head coach.
Stephen A. joined the program to discuss the trade rumors he has reported regarding a possible trade including Doc Rivers and the Clippers. Stephen A. also told the guys that he has heard that Danny and Doc may be tiring of working together.
Joe Castiglione talked to John Farrell before the second game against the Twins. The manager said that the Sox can win with small-ball or with big-ball.
Will Middlebrooks hit a 3-run double in the top of the 9th inning to power the Red Sox to a 4-3 victory over the Rays tonight. He joined Joe & Dave after the final call live from the dugout.
Larry joined the program to discuss the teams recent struggles and informed the guys that it is still early in the season. Larry also said that he still has faith that Daniel bard can turn things around.
Bruins rookie defenseman Matt Bartkowski has emerged as one of the young stars of the team and he joins Mut and Tom Caron to discuss his role on the team, why he's confident, and the trade that almost sent him to Calgary.
Andy Brickley joins the show to discuss the Bruins Game 1 win over the Rangers, the play of the three young Bruins defensemen, and the fatigue Jagr has shown on the ice.
Pierre McGuire joins Tom Caron and Mut to discuss the Bruins young defensemen, the intensity and energy level in the game, and the Rangers offense.
Shawn joined the program to discuss another overtime win for the Bruins. When asked about Game 7 against Toronto, Thornton said that he would like to keep his specific comments in the dressing room private, but acknowledged that he encouraged Tyler Seguin to up his play and it paid off in overtime.
Barry joined the guys to help breakdown the Bruins overtime win last night in game one. Barry said that he has rarely seen a team dominate as much as the Bruins yet be forced to an overtime.
Boomer joined the program to discuss the tough loss for his beloved Rangers. Boomer told the guys that Lundqvist will be better in game two and predicted a seven game series.
Bruins rookie defenseman Matt Bartkowski has emerged as one of the young stars of the team and he joins Mut and Tom Caron to discuss his role on the team, why he's confident, and the trade that almost sent him to Calgary.
Millar joins the show to discuss the recent Sox slide, Jacoby Ellsbury's lack of power, and hitting in the big leagues.
Andy Brickley joins the show to discuss the Bruins Game 1 win over the Rangers, the play of the three young Bruins defensemen, and the fatigue Jagr has shown on the ice.
We talk all things game one with Jack Edwards of NESN, and get to hear a little from Jack's Finnish protege as well.
We tackle four topics we haven't yet touched upon today.. Joe Thornton and disappointing former Boston athletes, parking in Boston, buying jersey numbers and more...
We talk about the report that Rob Gronkowski may now be a candidate for back surgery with a disc problem. Is Gronk just an injury prone guy? Or is he not rehabbing proberly? Can the Pats build an offense around a guy who is so inconsistently on the field? We discuss.
The Bruins have almost finished raking the Leafs, the Red Sox struggle from the mound, Miami Heat fans show their level of class.
Daily Planet Wednesday May 8th
Today on the Daily Planet the Bruins take a 2-1 series lead, the Red Sox get a run-off win, and we hear about cannibals and bible thieves.
Sounds like a prostate exam to me!
Damn New Yorkers!
Sauce Man stylings!
Buster Olney joins the show to discuss the muddled AL East, the average play of Ellsbury and how that will affect him in free agency, and Tropicana Field.
More from this showLinda explains how the shootout transpired in Watertown during the early morning hours. She saw the first suspect mortally wounded and police beginning the manhunt for the second suspect.
More from this showWe check in with Danny Ainge for our first talk to him since the Celtics season ended last weekend. We talk about the future of the team, KG, Pierce, Doc Rivers and more, as Danny directly answers the rumors being floated by ESPN's Stephen A. Smith.
More from this showJeff Bauman, a victim of the Boston Marathon bombing, joined the show to give the guys an update of his condition and a first-hand account of that terrible day. Jeff told the guys how he wrote the description of the bomber as soon as he could. Mr. Bauman added that he is aided every day with the knowledge that he is alive and the terrorist that detonated the bomb is dead.
More from this showDale Arnold joined the program to preview the Bruins Rangers series with John, Gerry and Kirk. Dale thinks the Bruins have the advantage in the series over New York.
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