Walk me through this as if I'm a complete moron (I know, I know, but sometimes we need to suspend disbelief. Or do we need to suspend belief? I'm confused. And also a moron):
The Red Sox have the league's best offense. They've scored the most runs, have the most hits, most doubles, most total bases, highest batting average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage. We are talking historically good here, right next to the 1950 and 2003 lineups as the best in franchise history.
(How's this for dominant? The Red Sox have five regulars -- Adrian Gonzalez, Jacoby Ellsbury, Kevin Youkilis, Dustin Pedroia and David Ortiz -- with an OPS of .880 or higher. The rest of the American League has a total of five.)
And on July 27, every significant contributor to this offense is healthy.
Josh Reddick -- in admittedly just 119 plate appearances, though I'm beginning to wonder if we aren't getting closer to the point where it is no longer necessary to preface each mention of Reddick with an apology for lack of sample size -- has been Stan Musial, putting up a .362/.403/.619 line.
So why do I keep hearing and reading about Carlos Beltran?
OK, Carlos Beltran is having a terrific season, the best of his seven years with the Mets (leads the National League in extra-base hits and doubles and is in the top 10 in walks, RBI, runs created). No argument here.
Clearly having Beltran on the Red Sox would make this already loaded offense even better. That's not debatable and not even the issue. And you know what? If Beltran showed up Moonlight Graham-style in Terry Francona's office today, ready to play for meal money and a place to stay, that would be swell.
But Beltran is THE name of this deadline (well, Beltran and Jimemez, I guess). And the Mets are going to have five or six teams (Mets, Giants, Phillies, Pirates, Indians. Yankees, Sox at least) competing for a chance to grab Beltran (and his $6 million) for the next 90 days.
So you are going to have to give up prospects. Plural. And again, the number of teams involved drives up the quality of prospects that you'll have to hand over. Are you willing to give up two of the top five or six prospects in the system (which might even include Reddick) to land Beltran?
Let's assume that the answer to that question is yes. You wouldn't be alone. I watched Felger and Buckley (two smart baseball guys, and by that I mean one smart baseball guy and one guy not named Steve Buckley) on Comcast agree Sunday that they would in fact do what has to be done to make sure Carlos Beltran is wearing a Sox uniform on August 1. And plenty of callers have weighed in on 'EEI and are on board with Beltran as well.
I don't get it. We can all agree that there is no chance the Sox would sign Beltran to a deal after this season, right? David Ortiz is going to back as DH, so are the Red Sox going to throw some fairly serious money at Beltran when they'll already have spent hundreds of millions of dollars on that lineup? Plus there will be either Reddick and Kalish waiting in right field for very little dough and under club control.
Oh, and there's this: If Beltran signs somewhere else as a free agent the Red Sox or whatever team trades for him will get nothing back for him. His contract stipulates that a team can't offer him arbitration, which wipes out the potential for draft-pick compensation. In totally unrelated news, there are still no announced plans to build an Omar Minaya statue outside of Citi Field.
This would be a rental, plain and simple. And I'm not going to try and sell you on the idea that this could turn out to be a Larry Anderson/Jeff Bagwell or Doyle Alexander/John Smoltz. Those are deadline outliers. But I don't think it's in any way a reach to imagine a scenario where the Sox give up a couple of guys that turn to be solid, useful big-league players (again, making almost no money for years -- and that does matter) for a piece to a puzzle -- and I'm not talking about pitching, just the offense -- that looks completed by any realistic measure.
And Theo Epstein knows this. That's why you are going to see nothing close to a blockbuster from the Red Sox this week. They might go the Reed Johnson route (wouldn't get highjacked for prospects, Johnson makes about 450K the rest of the year and is putting up a .356/.397/.534 vs. LHP) but that's about it. There is no reason for Theo to play the role of manic interventionist over the next five days. This is a leave-alone and take your chances team.
(On the other hand, I'd understand a Jimenez deal. He's 27 years old, probably at worst a solid No. 3 starter and will be paid just $18 million over the next three years. Unlike a Beltran, he helps you in 2011 and helps you in the future. That's the kind of trade I could see Theo making -- one that flips top prospects into an established star in his prime.)
Theo is paid to think about 2014 as well as 2011. And enough with the win at all costs angle -- this team is going to be in position to win a World Series for the next half-decade at least. If the Red Sox were fifth in the AL in runs scored, three games behind the Yankees, Josh Reddick was hitting .214 and the core of the team was past their prime (the one last run at it school of thought) there might be a case to be made for adding Beltran as a potential game-changer. But let's be fair: Even if Reddick hits the wall at Sean Young speed this lineup is still plenty good to win the World Series.
And that's all we're talking about here, isn't it? The Sox are making the playoffs. So we are really talking about -- at most -- 19 games. Are you trying to tell me that Carlos Beltran is absolutely going to be better than Reddick (or how about a Reddick/Johnson platoon) over a 19-game stretch?
The answer is no.
And no should also be the final word on Beltran to Boston.
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On this episode of the It Is What It Is Cast, Chris Price talks with the Boston Herald's Jeff P Howe about the Patriots offseason, Rob Gronkowski's back surgery, Danny Amendola replacing Wes Welker, and how this seasons team will stack up against last seasons.
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Stephen A. joined the show to discuss the status of trade negotiations between the Clippers and the Celtics. Stephen said that it is a 50-50 proposition that Doc ends up in Los Angeles.
Grande and Max take more calls on the Celtics and discuss what lies ahead for Doc Rivers with Steve Bulpett.
Long-time Celtics beat-writer Steve Bulpett calls Grande and Max to discuss Doc, the C's and what the future looks like for the Green Team.
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Dave O'Brien talked to John Farrell before the last game of the Baltimore series. The skipper said that the Sox have played tough through this stretch of long games.
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Andy Brickley joins Mut and Merloni in studio to take phone calls from the listeners and to preview Game 3 of the Stanley Cup.
Hour 1 of Brickley in studio with Mut and Merloni have the three taking phone calls, recapping Game 2, and discussing Mike Milbury's comments on Jagr.
Shawn joined the show to discuss the teams OT win in Chicago. Shawn said that there was a heated discussion during the first intermission Saturday night in Chicago after the teams poor first period.
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Stephen A. joined the show to discuss the status of trade negotiations between the Clippers and the Celtics. Stephen said that it is a 50-50 proposition that Doc ends up in Los Angeles.
Don Cherry joined the show to discuss the Cup finals. He said that he still thinks the Bruins will win the series over Chicago. Grapes added that he would not give Evgeni Malkin a dime and called him a loser.
Andy Brickley joins Mut and Merloni in studio to take phone calls from the listeners and to preview Game 3 of the Stanley Cup.
Hour 1 of Brickley in studio with Mut and Merloni have the three taking phone calls, recapping Game 2, and discussing Mike Milbury's comments on Jagr.
It all started when McNeil and Spiegel from The Score in Chicago called Boston people drunks and called Fenway a "dump." Knowing that McNeil and Speigel weren't interested in talking to them on air, Lou called in to their show anyway. At first they were afraid, but they finally succumbed to the pressure.
We talk all Bruins, all the time with the man himself, Jack Edwards from NESN gets us ready for game three and beyond.
Four guys, four topics we haven't yet touched upon today. TO visits Ocho, Bob Costas has enough smarm for us all, stupid beauty pageant contestants and more.
We talk about the Bruins big showdown with the Blackhawks tonight at the Garden with the lovely and knowledgeable Kathryn Tappen of the NHL Network.
Mikey gets a surprise call from Bernie Carbo, they talk about old time baseball and Bernie's new book.
Mikey talks with Tom and Luke about their new movie, Plimpton! and finds out what it was like to try to encapsulate everything Plimpton accomplished during his life.
Today on the Daily Planet, the Red Sox and Yankees face off in the Bronx, Claude Julien doesn't want players wasting energy, and Dwight Howard and free agency.
You ask, we answer. Today featuring NESN's Jack Edwards.
The new way we end the show. You ask, we answer.
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