There are different ways of viewing the meaning of spring training, but one consideration typically overshadows all others. Ask any manager in spring training whether his camp is going well and his answer will begin, and sometimes end, with a description of the health of his club.
So what to make of a Red Sox team that seems likely to open its season with nine players on the disabled list?
To put that number in context: A year ago, the Royals sent just nine players to the DL all year. The Rays and White Sox both had just 10 total players land on the DL in 2011. The Tigers had 11. The two teams that played in the World Series, the Cardinals and Rangers, had a total of 13 players on the DL all year.
Health isn’t the be-all, end-all for good teams. The 2011 Yankees sent a total of 26 players to the DL, and still managed to have the best record in the American League.
Even so, the fashion in which the Sox broke camp in Fort Myers on Monday was somewhat ominous. On the way out the door, while it appeared that Josh Beckett would be fine for the start of the year despite what manager Bobby Valentine described as a thumb “situation,” the team may not be so fortunate regarding the status of closer Andrew Bailey.
Bailey was examined in Boston on Monday. According to a major league source, he immediately went from that appointment to Cleveland for an exam with Dr. Thomas Graham, the hand specialist whom the Sox used for a pair of surgeries (Kevin Youkilis, Jarrod Saltalamacchia) in 2010.
The need for an immediate second opinion suggests the possibility of an issue that could render Bailey unavailable for more than just a brief season-opening stretch. The Boston Globe reported that surgery is a likely outcome of that consultation.
Bailey thus rounds out the “DL Starting 9” for the Red Sox. Here’s the roll call of the players who appear likely to open the year on the shelf:
RHP Andrew Bailey (assuming his thumb requires a DL stint)
RHP Chris Carpenter (elbow surgery in March)
OF Carl Crawford (wrist surgery in January)
LHP Rich Hill (Tommy John surgery last June)
RHP Bobby Jenks (back surgery in January)
OF Ryan Kalish (shoulder surgery in December)
RHP John Lackey (Tommy John surgery in October)
RHP Daisuke Matsuzaka (Tommy John surgery in June)
LHP Andrew Miller (hamstring strain in March)
Of those injuries, most were anticipated entering spring training. None of the three Tommy John rehabbers were expected to pitch in the early months of 2012, if at all. Kalish’s need to rehab and then spend time in the minors made a first-half return unlikely from the beginning. Ditto Jenks, who is nowhere close to pitching.
Crawford was expected to be out until sometime around Opening Day; he might be delayed slightly in that projection, but the Sox had time to plan for the contingency of his absence in signing Cody Ross.
Carpenter’s need for a cleanup of his elbow came as a surprise, but he wasn’t projected as anything more than a minor league relief depth option at the start of the year. Miller’s hamstring tweak was unexpected, though not destabilizing, since his role on the 2012 team was undefined entering camp.
Realistically, of the first players likely to open the year on the DL, the most impactful was Crawford, whose absence will test the team’s outfield depth in the early weeks of the year. Still, the Sox had already achieved a level of comfort with the idea that he could miss days to weeks at the start of the year.
Bailey’s late-spring injury was the one true bolt from the blue. He would represent the most destabilizing member of the Red Sox’ nine-deep DL squad, since the team would have to restructure its entire bullpen pecking order in the absence of the closer, especially if he requires surgery that would sideline him for multiple months.
But….
While the Sox were caught by surprise by this particular injury (one major league source noted that Bailey has never been known to have either hand or thumb issues in his career), the idea that the 27-year-old was injury-prone was not a shock. It was for that reason that the Sox built a bullpen with potential alternatives to Bailey. The acquisition of Mark Melancon was a part of that equation. The return to the bullpen of Alfredo Aceves was another.
And, if the late innings prove a minefield in the early stages of the season and the rotation proves deep (particularly with right-hander Aaron Cook stashed in Triple-A in April), then the Sox could eventually entertain the idea of shifting either Daniel Bard or Felix Doubront back to the bullpen. With Bard in particular, such a move may be a matter of when-not-if this year given the team’s desire to cap his innings increase.
So, there are alternatives to Bailey. Certainly, the Sox are a better team with the right-hander than without him, but they have planned for his absence.
Sox manager Bobby Valentine and GM Ben Cherington noted many times during the offseason that the 2011 World Series champion Cardinals opened the year with Ryan Franklin as their closer; Jason Motte did not assume that role until September, but then secured the Cardinals’ passage through the ninth inning in October.
Even so, the arrival of an unexpected injury on the threshold of the 2012 regular season is hardly the sort of harbinger that the Sox might have wanted. A team whose playoff hopes in the last two years were sabotaged in no small part by injuries will begin the year with more than 20 percent of its 40-man roster on the disabled list.
For a team that needs a strong start to help leave behind the dialogue of last year’s spiraling finish, that prospect -- just days removed from Opening Day -- is hardly ideal.
ALEX SPEIER
In the latest edition of the "It Is What It Is" podcast, Chris Price and CSNNE's Mike Giardi take a look at the Patriots offseason on both sides of the ball, try and get a handle on which new guys will make an impact first, and whether or not the Patriots have altered their style when it comes to drafting and developing wide receivers.
Mike Florio joined the program to discuss the Jets decision to release Tim Tebow, he said the situation is as disaster all around for the Jets and that the problems begins with owner Woody Johnson. Mike also said that he was disappointed with the Pats moving back in the first round.
One of the hardest working men in the biz, Mike Petraglia aka "Trags", sits down with Butch Stearns live in Foxborough to help break down all the latest Pats moves. He discusses his reaction to the trade in Round 1 and the guys those picks produced. Also, the boys talk about the decent trade the Pats made in acquiring LeGarrette Blount from Tampa Bay for Jeff Demps and a 7th rounder.
We check in with Danny Ainge for our first talk to him since the Celtics season ended last weekend. We talk about the future of the team, KG, Pierce, Doc Rivers and more, as Danny directly answers the rumors being floated by ESPN's Stephen A. Smith.
Jackie Mac joins the show to discuss the trade rumors swirling around Paul Pierce, KG, Doc Rivers and the Celtics. She also discusses the future of the Celtics head coach.
Stephen A. joined the program to discuss the trade rumors he has reported regarding a possible trade including Doc Rivers and the Clippers. Stephen A. also told the guys that he has heard that Danny and Doc may be tiring of working together.
Joe Castiglione talked with John Lackey after he picked up the W against the Twins. Lackey threw seven innings, and retired the 1st twelve batters of the game.
Dave O'Brien talked to John Farrell before the end of the Twins series. The Sox skipper said that Big Papi's success is no surprise given his work ethic.
John Farrell postgame press conference
Dale and DJ roll on with their puck talk and chat some more about the goalie matchup in this series, as well as the lack of a quality power play for both of these teams. In fact, DJ says the Rangers are even worse on the PP than the B’s! The guys also get into the resurgence of Milan Lucic and his deceptive speed and grit. Dale and DJ talk about the similar styles of play for these teams and look forward to Game 2.
Dale and DJ get into the two coaches and their polar opposite styles and demeanor. Both teams play a similar style, but the coaches certainly convey their messages in a different way. Dale isn't buying the Tortorella hype and thinks he's a little overrated. DJ thinks he's a good coach, but isn't a fan of anti-media stance. The guys also talk about Jagr and how he has not lived up to the hype. They weren't expecting him to light it up or be the savior, but DJ says he wasn't prepared for just how slow the aging veteran is. Another big topic for B's fans this season is the play of Tyler Seguin and why he has yet to become the superstar everyone anticipates he will be. This leads to Claude Julien's style and if he does actually have something against the younger players. That Iginla trade shows its ugly head again as well.
WEEI.com's DJ Bean joins Dale in studio for Sports Sunday to discuss the Bruins playoff run. Game 2 is later today and the guys discuss the results of the first game of the series. They get into the construction of the lines for the B's and if they would make any changes. DJ has a few ideas for the lines today. The boys also discuss the two goalies - Tuukka vs Henrik Lundqvist and wonder why people automatically think the Rangers have the edge at goalie. Finally, they get into the legacy and the decisions of Claude Julien and Peter Chiarelli.
Shawn joined the program to discuss another overtime win for the Bruins. When asked about Game 7 against Toronto, Thornton said that he would like to keep his specific comments in the dressing room private, but acknowledged that he encouraged Tyler Seguin to up his play and it paid off in overtime.
Barry joined the guys to help breakdown the Bruins overtime win last night in game one. Barry said that he has rarely seen a team dominate as much as the Bruins yet be forced to an overtime.
Boomer joined the program to discuss the tough loss for his beloved Rangers. Boomer told the guys that Lundqvist will be better in game two and predicted a seven game series.
Bruins rookie defenseman Matt Bartkowski has emerged as one of the young stars of the team and he joins Mut and Tom Caron to discuss his role on the team, why he's confident, and the trade that almost sent him to Calgary.
Millar joins the show to discuss the recent Sox slide, Jacoby Ellsbury's lack of power, and hitting in the big leagues.
Andy Brickley joins the show to discuss the Bruins Game 1 win over the Rangers, the play of the three young Bruins defensemen, and the fatigue Jagr has shown on the ice.
We talk all things game one with Jack Edwards of NESN, and get to hear a little from Jack's Finnish protege as well.
We tackle four topics we haven't yet touched upon today.. Joe Thornton and disappointing former Boston athletes, parking in Boston, buying jersey numbers and more...
We talk about the report that Rob Gronkowski may now be a candidate for back surgery with a disc problem. Is Gronk just an injury prone guy? Or is he not rehabbing proberly? Can the Pats build an offense around a guy who is so inconsistently on the field? We discuss.
The Bruins have almost finished raking the Leafs, the Red Sox struggle from the mound, Miami Heat fans show their level of class.
Daily Planet Wednesday May 8th
Today on the Daily Planet the Bruins take a 2-1 series lead, the Red Sox get a run-off win, and we hear about cannibals and bible thieves.
Sounds like a prostate exam to me!
Damn New Yorkers!
Sauce Man stylings!
Linda explains how the shootout transpired in Watertown during the early morning hours. She saw the first suspect mortally wounded and police beginning the manhunt for the second suspect.
More from this showWe check in with Danny Ainge for our first talk to him since the Celtics season ended last weekend. We talk about the future of the team, KG, Pierce, Doc Rivers and more, as Danny directly answers the rumors being floated by ESPN's Stephen A. Smith.
More from this showBuster Olney joins the show to discuss the muddled AL East, the average play of Ellsbury and how that will affect him in free agency, and Tropicana Field.
More from this showDale Arnold joined the program to preview the Bruins Rangers series with John, Gerry and Kirk. Dale thinks the Bruins have the advantage in the series over New York.
More from this showMike Mutnansky handicaps and previews the 138th running of the Preakness Stakes at Pimlico as Orb ties to win the Second Jewel of the Triple Crown and head to Belmont with a chance for the sport's first Triple Crown since Affirmed in 1978. Jessica Paquette (Suffolk Downs Racing Analyst) and Dick Jerardi (Xpressbet/Daily Racing Form) join the podcast.
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