The questions about the Red Sox rotation abound.
Can Josh Beckett bounce back? For that matter, how might the mild concussion he suffered on Monday impact his preparation to do so?
Can John Lackey sustain his promising second half?
Can Clay Buchholz build on his extraordinary performance from a breakout 2010 campaign?
Can anyone ever make sense of Daisuke Matsuzaka?
Will the Sox have adequate rotation depth should any of their starters go down?
These are all fair inquiries, and all reminders that what appears to be a loaded Red Sox team on paper could have a rotation that is either a tremendous strength or, potentially, a shortcoming. But amidst those questions, there is one certainty.
There is Jon Lester.
The 27-year-old will make his first start of the Grapefruit League season on Tuesday against the Twins. In all likelihood, it will be a non-event.
After the performance – whatever his line in the exhibition game – Lester will shrug about what he is and is not working on in spring training; he will find fault with some aspect of his outing (he is, after all, a perfectionist); he will sigh when asked after the contest about trying to escape his April struggles; he will leave the ballpark as if punching out of work for the day, ready to return on Wednesday.
This is who Lester is. He embraces the process and routine of pitching, quietly demanding a great deal of himself but rarely showing any use for or interest in celebrating his accomplishments.
Yet for the Sox, Lester has become arguably the most important player on the team. He is now three years into a run as one of the top starters in the game. April struggles notwithstanding, he has delivered consistent dominance despite residing in the toughest division in the game.
He’s won 16, 15 and 19 games over the last three seasons; he’s made either 32 or 33 starts while tossing 200-plus innings in all three campaigns; he has three straight years of sub-3.50 ERAs.
He has established himself to such a degree – and with such a remarkable array of pitches that allow him to carve up both sides of the plate to both right-handed and left-handed hitters – that his excellence in any given start is almost taken for granted.
John Lackey believes that his rotation-mate is the best starter in the game. Even Sox officials take for granted that the young southpaw will give them a huge advantage on almost any night he starts.
“I’m surprised every time he gives up runs,” admitted GM Theo Epstein. “I think he’s just about the best left-hander in baseball. … There are 30 teams, there should be 30 No. 1s. There probably aren’t. But he’s clearly [deserving of that title].”
It would be difficult to argue the point. Over the last three seasons, Lester is one of just four pitchers to have 50 wins, joining Roy Halladay (58), CC Sabathia (57) and Adam Wainwright (50). Of course, Lester is the only one to have racked up all of his victories while in the American League.
He is, moreover, just the third AL pitcher since 2000 to win 50 or more games in his age 24-26 seasons; he is the first Sox pitcher to accomplish that feat since Roger Clemens.
His 3.29 ERA is 15th in the majors among pitchers with at least 300 innings pitched over the last three years. Of those in front of him, only Mariners ace Felix Hernandez (who plays in a great pitcher’s park) and Zack Greinke – who was an AL Central resident with the Royals until being dealt to the Brewers this winter – spent all three seasons in the AL. That helps to explain how his ERA+ of 139 is tied with Sabathia for ninth best in the majors over the last three years.
Strikeouts? He ranks seventh in the majors with 602 over the last three years, and his 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings ranks second (to Justin Verlander) among American League pitchers.
When he was coming up through the Sox farm system, they saw a pitcher whom they thought could develop into a front-of-the-rotation starter. But even they could not predict what the young left-hander has become.
“I think we knew he was going to be a big strong horse with power stuff,” said Epstein. “We saw the physical ability, the clean delivery, the way the arm worked, power stuff. The glove side of the plate was a lot more advanced than the arm side. We weren’t sure how all the parts were going to fit together, but we trusted him to figure it out because he had such great raw materials.
“But the way he’s advanced his career, become so polished at the big league level, so mature, it’s impressive. It’s hard to foresee that with anybody.”
That was then, this is now. Lester has a clearly established baseline as an elite starter. The Sox can now take his sustained excellence going forward – barring injury – as something of a given.
He is young, durable and at a point where he can consistently harness his abilities into outstanding performances. He is also a bargain, as he will make a $5.75 million base salary this year in the third year of his five-year, $30 million deal that includes a team option for 2014.
That combination of traits carries exceptional value to the Sox. Indeed, the team views the combination of Lester and fellow farm system product Buchholz as being perhaps its most valuable asset, a pair of young pitchers with ace-caliber talent that simply could not be replaced at their current minimal cost had they not been cultivated from within the system.
“It’s very meaningful. Just to have two homegrown guys in our rotation now changes the landscape of our franchise, for me,” said Epstein. “You don’t want to live in free agency with starting pitching. To have Buchholz and Lester, I haven’t looked at it, but it’s probably as good a homegrown pair of starters as there probably is in the game. Everything else plays off of that as far as roster construction.”
In that sense, it is not just an ace but an anchor who will take the mound in Grapefruit League action on Tuesday. Lester is the one Sox starter whose performance can be taken as a near-given, making him a cornerstone of what the Sox hope to build in 2011 and for years to come.
ALEX SPEIER
In the latest edition of the "It Is What It Is" podcast, Chris Price and CSNNE's Mike Giardi take a look at the Patriots offseason on both sides of the ball, try and get a handle on which new guys will make an impact first, and whether or not the Patriots have altered their style when it comes to drafting and developing wide receivers.
Mike Florio joined the program to discuss the Jets decision to release Tim Tebow, he said the situation is as disaster all around for the Jets and that the problems begins with owner Woody Johnson. Mike also said that he was disappointed with the Pats moving back in the first round.
One of the hardest working men in the biz, Mike Petraglia aka "Trags", sits down with Butch Stearns live in Foxborough to help break down all the latest Pats moves. He discusses his reaction to the trade in Round 1 and the guys those picks produced. Also, the boys talk about the decent trade the Pats made in acquiring LeGarrette Blount from Tampa Bay for Jeff Demps and a 7th rounder.
We check in with Danny Ainge for our first talk to him since the Celtics season ended last weekend. We talk about the future of the team, KG, Pierce, Doc Rivers and more, as Danny directly answers the rumors being floated by ESPN's Stephen A. Smith.
Jackie Mac joins the show to discuss the trade rumors swirling around Paul Pierce, KG, Doc Rivers and the Celtics. She also discusses the future of the Celtics head coach.
Stephen A. joined the program to discuss the trade rumors he has reported regarding a possible trade including Doc Rivers and the Clippers. Stephen A. also told the guys that he has heard that Danny and Doc may be tiring of working together.
Dave O'Brien talked to John Farrell before the end of the Twins series. The Sox skipper said that Big Papi's success is no surprise given his work ethic.
John Farrell postgame press conference
Joe Castiglione and Dave O'Brien talked to David Ortiz after the Red Sox beat the Twins 12-5. Big Papi said that team chemistry is great, that the new guys see the Sox way of doing things.
Dale and DJ roll on with their puck talk and chat some more about the goalie matchup in this series, as well as the lack of a quality power play for both of these teams. In fact, DJ says the Rangers are even worse on the PP than the B’s! The guys also get into the resurgence of Milan Lucic and his deceptive speed and grit. Dale and DJ talk about the similar styles of play for these teams and look forward to Game 2.
Dale and DJ get into the two coaches and their polar opposite styles and demeanor. Both teams play a similar style, but the coaches certainly convey their messages in a different way. Dale isn't buying the Tortorella hype and thinks he's a little overrated. DJ thinks he's a good coach, but isn't a fan of anti-media stance. The guys also talk about Jagr and how he has not lived up to the hype. They weren't expecting him to light it up or be the savior, but DJ says he wasn't prepared for just how slow the aging veteran is. Another big topic for B's fans this season is the play of Tyler Seguin and why he has yet to become the superstar everyone anticipates he will be. This leads to Claude Julien's style and if he does actually have something against the younger players. That Iginla trade shows its ugly head again as well.
WEEI.com's DJ Bean joins Dale in studio for Sports Sunday to discuss the Bruins playoff run. Game 2 is later today and the guys discuss the results of the first game of the series. They get into the construction of the lines for the B's and if they would make any changes. DJ has a few ideas for the lines today. The boys also discuss the two goalies - Tuukka vs Henrik Lundqvist and wonder why people automatically think the Rangers have the edge at goalie. Finally, they get into the legacy and the decisions of Claude Julien and Peter Chiarelli.
Shawn joined the program to discuss another overtime win for the Bruins. When asked about Game 7 against Toronto, Thornton said that he would like to keep his specific comments in the dressing room private, but acknowledged that he encouraged Tyler Seguin to up his play and it paid off in overtime.
Barry joined the guys to help breakdown the Bruins overtime win last night in game one. Barry said that he has rarely seen a team dominate as much as the Bruins yet be forced to an overtime.
Boomer joined the program to discuss the tough loss for his beloved Rangers. Boomer told the guys that Lundqvist will be better in game two and predicted a seven game series.
Bruins rookie defenseman Matt Bartkowski has emerged as one of the young stars of the team and he joins Mut and Tom Caron to discuss his role on the team, why he's confident, and the trade that almost sent him to Calgary.
Millar joins the show to discuss the recent Sox slide, Jacoby Ellsbury's lack of power, and hitting in the big leagues.
Andy Brickley joins the show to discuss the Bruins Game 1 win over the Rangers, the play of the three young Bruins defensemen, and the fatigue Jagr has shown on the ice.
We talk all things game one with Jack Edwards of NESN, and get to hear a little from Jack's Finnish protege as well.
We tackle four topics we haven't yet touched upon today.. Joe Thornton and disappointing former Boston athletes, parking in Boston, buying jersey numbers and more...
We talk about the report that Rob Gronkowski may now be a candidate for back surgery with a disc problem. Is Gronk just an injury prone guy? Or is he not rehabbing proberly? Can the Pats build an offense around a guy who is so inconsistently on the field? We discuss.
The Bruins have almost finished raking the Leafs, the Red Sox struggle from the mound, Miami Heat fans show their level of class.
Daily Planet Wednesday May 8th
Today on the Daily Planet the Bruins take a 2-1 series lead, the Red Sox get a run-off win, and we hear about cannibals and bible thieves.
Sounds like a prostate exam to me!
Damn New Yorkers!
Sauce Man stylings!
Buster Olney joins the show to discuss the muddled AL East, the average play of Ellsbury and how that will affect him in free agency, and Tropicana Field.
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More from this showBoomer joined the program to discuss the tough loss for his beloved Rangers. Boomer told the guys that Lundqvist will be better in game two and predicted a seven game series.
More from this showIn the latest edition of the "It Is What It Is" podcast, Chris Price and CSNNE's Mike Giardi take a look at the Patriots offseason on both sides of the ball, try and get a handle on which new guys will make an impact first, and whether or not the Patriots have altered their style when it comes to drafting and developing wide receivers.
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