I hope everybody had some success in Week 3. I know I did, and I am looking to get some momentum going with my Week 4 recommendations. Once again, I’ve broken the players into three cost categories, so you have options throughout DraftKings’ pricing from top to bottom. If you are looking for some help choosing your Week 4 defense, check out my Rotobahn Blog on Choosing a DraftKings Defense.
If you haven’t yet, please join Jim Hackett and me Sunday morning for The Fantasy Football Hour at 8 a.m. on 93.7. We’ll be covering Week 4 injuries, some lineup advice and plenty of DraftKings, too! In fact, we will talking about how to build a DraftKings lineup from scratch. That should be fun, and hopefully useful for some of you as well.
BIG-MONEY OPTIONS ($7,000 and up)
Aaron Rodgers, Packers at 49ers, $7,900
For my Week 4 lineups, I’m not looking to play a lot of elite quarterbacks. I just don’t see the value in paying large for a beat up Drew Brees or Andrew Luck. Having said that, if I am going to spend, I am going all out and paying for Rodgers, who is on fire and healthy. The obvious concern would be a total blowout that features a few early rushing touchdowns. As long as you are willing to take that risk, Rodgers is a nice play with stacking options at all cost levels. Randall Cobb is the elite option. James Jones is the middle stack option and for value, you have Ty Montgomery, who you will read about in a few minutes.
Emmanuel Sanders, Broncos vs. Vikings, $7,700
My guess is that the Vikings allow their star cornerback, Xavier Rhodes, to match up with Demaryius Thomas. That should leave Sanders with some room to operate against either Terrance Newman or rookie Trae Waynes. He should thrive in either matchup. If I am going to spend on a Broncos receiver this week, I will save a few bucks and play Sanders over Thomas, who is priced at 8,100 units.
Jamaal Charles, Chiefs at Bengals, $7,600
If I do spend big on a back this week, it’s going to be Charles, who fits the PPR scoring format and is a huge part of his offense no matter what the game situation is. He will be a big factor both as a receiver and as a runner.
A.J. Green, Bengals vs. Chiefs, $7,600
The Chiefs are giving up production in the passing game and Green has been producing big numbers. On paper, this is a good situation if you are looking for a big game. Yes, you pay a significant price, but Green’s a very strong play.
MID-LEVEL OPTIONS ($4,000-$6,900)
Jordan Matthews, Eagles at Washington, $6,600
He is the best Eagles receiver to target because he is the guy who gets the ball most consistently. I also like his matchup this week against Washington, which lacks size and athleticism in its secondary and at the slot position in particular. Matthews gets the bulk of his snaps out of the slot and that gives him an advantage most of the time, and it certainly does this week. He’s a potential bargain at 6,600 units.
Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals vs. Rams, $6,500
He’s playing great football and he’s a very good bet to score this week and push 100 yards receiving. He should be priced higher. I will have Fitz in a bunch of my lineups this week.
Amari Cooper, Raiders at Bears, $6,300
The Bears corners can’t handle him and he’s already showing that he has special talent. The one thing he doesn’t have is a high price tag. In Cooper, you are getting big money value at a mid-level price.
Tyrod Taylor, Bills vs. Giants, $5,800
He’s inexperienced and he’ll be without his number one receiver Sammy Watkins. That’s the downside. The rest is very positive. The Bills can run the ball on the Giants. The loss of LeSean McCoy hurts their depth, but rookie Karlos Williams will keep the train running. Taylor will get points with his feet and with his arm. He still has plenty of good receivers to work with, including Robert Woods, who you will find in my bargain-basement section at the bottom of the page. The two make an interesting Week 4 stack.
Travis Kelce, Chiefs at Bengals, $5,300
Kelce grew up in Ohio and he played his college ball at the University of Cincinnati. I’m not usually one to bring up the emotional element, but Kelce is an emotional kid, and I expect him to be seriously fired up for his return home. As I have said in the past, Kelce has some Gronk to him. He likes the big spot and he likes to make the big play. This is a big spot for him, and I think he’ll be up to the task.
Frank Gore, Colts vs. Jaguars, $4,700
The Colts have to play with urgency or they could watch their season slip away. Gore knows this, as a player who has been on more than a few bad teams. He will come out ready to play in the beatable home matchup. As long as Andrew Luck is active, I see Gore as an excellent value at 4,700 units. A potential steal, actually.
BARGAIN BASEMENT (below $4,000)
Alfred Blue, Texans at Falcons, $3,900
Arian Foster is a game-time decision. My guess is that we know who’s starting for the Texans well before kickoff and that will give you enough time to place a few lineups that include Alfred Blue. The big bruiser could really have a good day if he’s the guy against the Falcons, who have been inconsistent defending the run.
Marvin Jones, Bengals vs. Chiefs, 3,800
I like Andy Dalton this week as a cheap quarterback option in tournaments. And, while I would usually pair Dalton with A.J. Green, I might be tempted to put together a Dalton/Jones stack in a league or two as a contrarian move that allows me to put a stud somewhere else in my lineup. Jones has what we look for in a cheap option, and that’s multi-score potential. Jones dropped a three touchdown game on the Jets just last year. If you feel like zigging while others are zagging, this is a move to consider.
Ryan Mathews, Eagles at Washington, $3,800
It’s best to know all the angles when you are setting your DraftKings lineup. Ryan Mathews is a Week 4 angle to know about, because he becomes a very nice value play if the Eagles decide to hold DeMarco Murray out again. Murray has a good chance to play after practicing most of this week, but he is still listed as questionable. If you keep your head on a swivel here, you may end up with some nice evolving value.
Karlos Williams, Bills vs. Giants, $3,400
If you only play one DraftKings lineup this week, you should have Karlos Williams in it. My guess is that Williams is the most popular player in daily leagues this week, and that’s because he’s a perfect storm of good stuff. He’s a hot player. He is insanely underpriced. And, above all, he is totally in charge of the Bills backfield this week with LeSean McCoy ruled out with a hamstring.
Michael Floyd, Cardinals vs. Rams, $3,300
This one takes some guts, but a lot of the great tournament plays do. Floyd fits the profile of what we are looking for in a low-cost tournament option. He is cheap, he is unpopular at the moment, and he has multiple-touchdown potential.
Robert Woods, Bills vs. Giants, $3,100
If you are in a tournament, and you want to play a stack with Tyrod Taylor, Woods is a nice inexpensive alternative to Percy Harvin. Sammy Watkins already has been declared out for Week 4, so Woods should get plenty of action.
Thomas Rawls, Seahawks vs. Lions, $3,000
This is another conditional one, but if the Seahawks rule Marshawn Lynch out before you set your lineups, you will want some shares of Rawls. This is a game in which Seattle should have a solid lead. If there is no Lynch, you will see a ton of Rawls. He’s a steal at 3,000 units if he starts.
Ty Montgomery, Packers at 49ers, $3,000
There is a chance that Davante Adams plays, but it’s a small one. As long as Adams is out, you can create some nice cap space elsewhere by playing Montgomery, and you might even get some good production out of him. Aaron Rodgers‘ third receiver always is a player with big-game potential. Montgomery has a lock on that role if Adams is out.
Cordarrelle Patterson, Vikings at Broncos, $3,000
Here’s another gutsy dart throw. Patterson has a chance to play a lot of snaps this week, and I wonder if he may actually fit the Vikings offense better than some folks think. Minnesota has gone run-heavy with Adrian Peterson back, and Patterson actually could fit into that style if he is on the field enough. It’s not hard to imagine a game in which this guy scores as a return man and as a runner from scrimmage. The bullet sweep works a lot better when the defense has to play Peterson as the first option. Remember, Patterson played much of last year with Matt Asiata leading the ground game. And you still have the possibility that the Vikings can get him involved downfield as a receiver, too. The point is, as with Michael Floyd, Patterson has the potential to score more than once if he is heavily involved. The key thing to watch here, if you want to consider Patterson, is Jarius Wright. Wright is questionable with a hand injury. If Wright sits, Patterson is in play as a deep dart throw in tournaments. No way would I want you to use him in head-to-head games or 50-50 leagues. That’s a bridge too far.
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